CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
628 Spruce St
B Composite 70.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

628 Spruce St · Quincy, IL 62301
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,413 sqft · SingleFamily · 264 Days on market
Built 1942 5,663 sqft lot $49/sqft · 133% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Newer windows
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSUPDATED ELECTRIC PANELLARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
  • Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Dr. Abby Fox Rooney Elem Sch (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #842 of 2,056 statewide, top 41%, 496 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Jr High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #295 of 665 statewide, top 45%, 1,348 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
21.77%
Cash-on-cash
55.28%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$30,049
List price
$69,900
Delta
132.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1223 N 5 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,376 (-3%) 15mo $135,500 $98 63
315 Maple St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,422 (+1%) 7mo $91,000 $64 60
1314 N 10th St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,505 (+6%) 1mo $72,000 $48 59
1238 N 12th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+2%) 7mo $135,000 $94 54
530 Lind St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,277 (-10%) 3mo $29,000 $23 48
1221 Elm St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,470 (+4%) 0mo $58,000 $39 45
1501 Sycamore St 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,394 (-1%) 8mo $131,000 $94 41
1226 Spruce St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,295 (-8%) 8mo $115,000 $89 40
1201 N 12th St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,286 (-9%) 14mo $152,000 $118 36
623 N 8th 0.55mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,519 (+8%) 14mo $35,000 $23 35
702 Spring St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,245 (-12%) 14mo $12,000 $10 22
1201 N 14th St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,218 (-14%) 16mo $195,000 $160 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.9%
Equity multiple
3.80×
Total profit
$54,898
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
65.4%
Equity multiple
9.27×
Total profit
$161,804
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62301

Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $245/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$902

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $941 -5% $921 +0% $902 +5% $882 +10% $862
Rent -10% $770 -5% $836 +0% $902 +5% $968 +10% $1,033
Rate -1.0pp $937 -0.5pp $919 base $902 +0.5pp $884 +1.0pp $865

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 N 3rd St Quincy, IL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1950 $5,600 $2.87 45d 12 1.04mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 264 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 263 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 262 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 261 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 260 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 258 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 257 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 254 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 253 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 252 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 248 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 246 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 245 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 244 DOM
  16. 2026-03-10
    soldstatus $65,000
  17. 2026-03-02
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

  18. 2026-01-19
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

  19. 2026-01-08
    historical
  20. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  21. 2026-01-06
    historical
  22. 2026-01-05
    historical
  23. 2025-12-19
    price $69,900 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

  24. 2025-12-12
    price $69,900
  25. 2025-12-12
    price
  26. 2025-09-29
    listed $75,000 Active
  27. 2025-09-26
    listed $75,000 Active 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

  28. 2025-09-26
    listed Active
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Nice 2 unit on North side of town. Lower apartment is ready to rent, freshly painted. Newer windows. Upstairs has one room that needs drywall (currently there). Updated electric panel. Separate gas/electric meter. Shared water meter. Large yard., Main Floor Laundry, Separate Electric Meters, Separate Gas Meters, HiSpd Intrnt Fiber Avail

  29. 2022-09-27
    historical
  30. 2022-09-27
    historical
  31. 2019-02-02
    historical
  32. 2018-04-13
    historical
  33. 2012-05-10
    historical
  34. 2008-02-22
    soldstatus $13,000
  35. 2008-02-22
    soldstatus $13,000
  36. 2008-02-01
    soldstatus $13,000
  37. 2007-09-26
    listed $19,900
  38. 2007-09-26
    listed $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$245 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$916 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$671/yr (+$56/mo · 274.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,016
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$245
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,601
− Management
−$1,601
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$10,270
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,465
After-tax cash flow
$8,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quincy SD 172
NCES district ID
1733000
Math proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,132
Composite
21.91/100
National rank
#8229
State rank
#328 of 620 in IL

Livability — Quincy

Score
67/100
State rank
#506
US rank
#10458

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quincy, IL
County
Adams County · 30,746 people
City population
30,746
Metro
Quincy, IL-MO
Population (ZIP)
30,746
Household income
$52,055
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
1238.0

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,795 people
By 2030
64,436 · -2.1%
By 2040
61,007 · -7.3%
By 2050
56,851 · -13.6%
By 2075
46,424 · -29.4%
By 2100
34,305 · -47.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.6% · R 73.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.0pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+35.2 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.44%
Current HPI
131.7344
Rent YoY
▲ 10.78%
Metro
Quincy, IL-MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.6% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-02 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-19 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $69,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $75,000 Quincy AOR
  • 2025-09-26 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-26 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-22 Sold (MLS) $13,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-22 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-26 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-26 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-9.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $245 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…