13419 Dwyer Blvd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$51,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this one-story brick front home with 3-bedrooms and 2-bath. Inside is a spacious living room, kitchen with ample cabinet spaces, breakfast bar, and a formal dining room. Step outside to enjoy the fenced backyard. Inside city limits with easy access to schools, parks, and restaurants.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Fenced backyard
- Ample cabinet spaces
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Entry on slab foundation
- Construction: Built with brick; Slab foundation; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Porch; City lot; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $51k).
- Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.30%
- DSCR
- 4.31
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,244
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13010 Chateau Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 2,159 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $72 | 78 |
| 4919 Bergerac St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,318 (+12%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $69 | 65 |
| 13134 Dwyer Blvd | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,223 (+7%) | 7mo | $63,000 | $28 | 63 |
| 4827 Michoud Blvd | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,982 (-4%) | 19mo | $94,000 | $47 | 59 |
| 5170 Toulon St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,180 (+5%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 13734 Lourdes St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 2,294 (+10%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $48 | 58 |
| 13018 Deauville Ct | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,904 (-8%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $39 | 51 |
| 5457 Grand Bayou Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,765 (-15%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $99 | 48 |
| 13110 Maplewood Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,300 (+11%) | 21mo | $235,000 | $102 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $43,932
- Equity at exit
- $7,604
- IRR
- 72.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.41×
- Total profit
- $105,784
- Equity at exit
- $4,410
Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70129
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$267
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,710/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $847 | -5% $832 | +0% $818 | +5% $803 | +10% $789 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $686 | -5% $752 | +0% $818 | +5% $884 | +10% $949 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $843 | -0.5pp $831 | base $818 | +0.5pp $805 | +1.0pp $791 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,750
- Closing costs
- $1,530
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $51,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $51,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $51,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $51,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $51,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $51,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 295-char remark
-
2026-06-02$51,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,710 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,710 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,857
- − Property taxes
- −$1,710
- − Insurance
- −$1,052
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$1,484
- Taxable income
- $9,681
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,323
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- City population
- 338,817
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,219
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 12% White 8% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Vietnam, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Vietnamese 29% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.58%
- Current HPI
- 116.8578
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+38.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $51,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $51,000 GSREIN
- 1976-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+34.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,710 · +2956.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…