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1333 Wilkinson Dr
C+ Composite 64.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

1333 Wilkinson Dr · Plant City, FL 33566
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Land · 24 Days on market
Built 2005 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ONLY CASH. Financing is not accepted—cash only—because the mobile home has been moved from its original location. Discover this incredible opportunity! This property sits on 0.26 acres of privately owned land and features a 2005 manufactured home, fully renovated and move-in ready. It offers the space and peace you’re looking for, combined with modern upgrades and a fresh, stylish design. The home includes a brand- new 2025 AC, 2025 septic tank, 2025 well, and a metal roof, providing durability and efficiency for years to come. Inside, you’ll find a completely updated interior with a modern kitchen, renovated bathrooms, updated flooring, and a clean, contemporary loo

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Fully renovated
  • Modern upgrades

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDMOVE-IN READYMODERN UPGRADESFRESH STYLISH DESIGNBRAND NEW ACNEW SEPTIC TANK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No lease restrictions
  • HOA & community: No association (no HOA)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Private utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces west
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Block and brick/mortar foundation; Built on a 0.26-acre lot (approx. 95 x 125)
  • Exterior features: Sliding doors; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan with kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry with corridor access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Walden Lake Elementary School (math 63% / reading 56%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 847 students, 48% FRL); Tomlin Middle School (math 45% / reading 39%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,499 students, 64% FRL); Strawberry Crest High School (math 49% / reading 55%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,558 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $190k implies a 443% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,150 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.90%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$7,380
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$69,282
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33566

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,155 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,190/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $635 -5% $581 +0% $527 +5% $474 +10% $420
Rent -10% $357 -5% $442 +0% $527 +5% $613 +10% $698
Rate -1.0pp $623 -0.5pp $576 base $527 +0.5pp $478 +1.0pp $428

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4733 N Dawnmeadow Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1286 $1,600 $1.24 1d 1 0.86mi
411 Abigail Rd Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1309 $1,933 $1.48 3d 1 1.02mi
4522 Reynolds Creek Ave Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,979 $1.69 18d 1 1.06mi
530 Scarlet Maple Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1119 $1,899 $1.70 4d 1 1.29mi
2525 Turkey Creek Rd Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,850 $1.61 26d 1 1.42mi
3817 Creek Way Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1149 $2,099 $1.83 26d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-04-06
    price $206,000 1253-char remark
  17. 2026-04-01
    price $190,000 1253-char remark
  18. 2026-03-16
    price $195,000 1253-char remark
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $199,000 1253-char remark
  20. 2026-03-06
    price $210,000 1253-char remark
  21. 2025-12-12
    listed $220,000 Active 1253-char remark
  22. 2025-08-29
    status Pending
  23. 2025-08-28
    historical
  24. 2025-08-18
    listed $255,000 Active
  25. 2024-11-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  26. 2024-11-21
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
  27. 2024-10-28
    status Pending
  28. 2024-10-24
    listed $25,000 Active
  29. 2003-09-05
    soldstatus $40,000
  30. 1996-04-02
    soldstatus $50,000
  31. 1987-04-01
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,190 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,577 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$387/yr (+$32/mo · 32.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,857
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,190
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,069
− Management
−$2,069
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$3,409
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$818
After-tax cash flow
$5,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,521
Household income
$72,393
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
376.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.40%
Current HPI
298.1385
Rent YoY
▲ 5.09%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+216.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $206,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-21 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-28 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-24 Listed $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,190 · +17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…