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511 Jefferson St
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,000

511 Jefferson St · Salineville, OH 43945
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,052 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2024 7,840 sqft lot ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The search is over! This modular home is where modern features and functionality co-exist! Offering the perfect layout with multiple entertainment options- large family gatherings will be a breeze when you use the large living room to entertain adults and the family room for all the kids! Another bonus- the master suite being on the opposite end of the other 3! The master suite offers a large walk in closet and large bathroom offering a stand up shower and a soaking tub! This home is one you do not want to miss out on- call now before it’s gone!

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2024

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Combination foundation with pillar/post/pier; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Built by owner (year built source: owner)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Lot approximately 0.18 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Pantry; Soaking tub
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#840 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Southern Local (rural): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #547 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $107,365 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.91%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$77,049
Equity at exit
$98,196
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
7.98×
Total profit
$213,043
Equity at exit
$211,763

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43945

Home prices YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $315 +0% $277 +5% $240 +10% $202
Rent -10% $174 -5% $226 +0% $277 +5% $329 +10% $380
Rate -1.0pp $332 -0.5pp $305 base $277 +0.5pp $249 +1.0pp $220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $109,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $119,900 Active
  17. 2025-04-24
    historical
  18. 2024-11-15
    price $199,000
  19. 2024-08-26
    price $210,000
  20. 2024-08-19
    listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,655
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,694
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$406
After-tax cash flow
$2,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Local
NCES district ID
3904644
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$41,372
Composite
32.35/100
National rank
#5742
State rank
#547 of 656 in OH

Livability — Salineville

Score
63/100
State rank
#840
US rank
#15730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salineville, OH
County
Columbiana · 99,532 people
Population (ZIP)
2,620
Household income
$62,946
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
11.2

Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,353 people
By 2030
94,225 · -4.2%
By 2040
85,169 · -13.4%
By 2050
76,157 · -22.6%
By 2075
58,451 · -40.6%
By 2100
42,805 · -56.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 7% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
2008→2024 swing
-41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.92%
Current HPI
209.5671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-04-24 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2024-11-15 Price Changed $199,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-08-26 Price Changed $210,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-08-19 Listed $220,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $136 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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