511 Jefferson St · Salineville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The search is over! This modular home is where modern features and functionality co-exist! Offering the perfect layout with multiple entertainment options- large family gatherings will be a breeze when you use the large living room to entertain adults and the family room for all the kids! Another bonus- the master suite being on the opposite end of the other 3! The master suite offers a large walk in closet and large bathroom offering a stand up shower and a soaking tub! This home is one you do not want to miss out on- call now before it’s gone!
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2024
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Combination foundation with pillar/post/pier; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built by owner (year built source: owner)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Lot approximately 0.18 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 4 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Pantry; Soaking tub
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#840 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Southern Local (rural): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #547 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.91%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $77,049
- Equity at exit
- $98,196
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.98×
- Total profit
- $213,043
- Equity at exit
- $211,763
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43945
- Home prices YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $353 | -5% $315 | +0% $277 | +5% $240 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $174 | -5% $226 | +0% $277 | +5% $329 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $332 | -0.5pp $305 | base $277 | +0.5pp $249 | +1.0pp $220 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $109,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$119,900 Active
-
2025-04-24historical
-
2024-11-15price $199,000
-
2024-08-26price $210,000
-
2024-08-19$220,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $1,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904644
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,372
- Composite
- 32.35/100
- National rank
- #5742
- State rank
- #547 of 656 in OH
Livability — Salineville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #840
- US rank
- #15730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salineville, OH
- County
- Columbiana · 99,532 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,620
- Household income
- $62,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11.2
Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,353 people
- By 2030
- 94,225 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 85,169 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 76,157 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 58,451 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 42,805 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 7% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.92%
- Current HPI
- 209.5671
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-45.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-04-24 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2024-11-15 Price Changed $199,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-08-26 Price Changed $210,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-08-19 Listed $220,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $136 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…