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1416 Wabash Ave
B Composite 72.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,999

1416 Wabash Ave · Belleville, IL 62220
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1972 0.25 ac lot Est $199k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private ownership; Solar (green energy feature)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; Driveway; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water and sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Chain link and privacy fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room; Family room; Dining room; Covered patio; Patio; Gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,999 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
9.28%
Cash-on-cash
10.65%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1425 Wabash Ave 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (-9%) 3mo $105,000 $72 76
1012 Forest Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,625 (+2%) 2mo $155,000 $95 64
427 S Douglas Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,587 (-0%) 5mo $214,900 $135 61
14 Damask Ct 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+10%) 9mo $209,900 $120 59
641 S Virginia Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+0%) 9mo $240,000 $150 59
1212 Mascoutah Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (-12%) 0mo $195,000 $138 55
732 E Adams St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-8%) 2mo $159,900 $110 53
615 Portland Ave 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,473 (-8%) 1mo $200,000 $136 52
1012 S Church St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,494 (-6%) 2mo $125,000 $84 51
503 Wabash Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,685 (+6%) 10mo $210,000 $125 50
1513 Mascoutah Ave 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-8%) 9mo $200,000 $137 45
608 E Adams St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,380 (-13%) 1mo $139,000 $101 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$10,432
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$89,619
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62220

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,050 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$398 /mo · $4,772/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,578
Max offer price $149,999
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
721 S Church St Belleville, IL 4.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 23d 1 0.84mi
6 Sandwedge Dr Belleville, IL 3.0 4.0 2200 $2,295 $1.04 1d 1 0.87mi
6 Sandwedge Dr Belleville, IL 3.0 4.0 2200 $3,000 $1.36 2d 1 0.87mi
1953 Richmond Springs Ln Belleville, IL 3.0 3.0 1480 $2,500 $1.69 1d 1 0.97mi
2056 Huntmaster Dr Belleville, IL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,525 $1.27 1d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    price $149,999
  3. 2026-05-01
    price $152,000
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $154,950
  5. 2026-03-21
    listed $159,900 Active
  6. 2026-03-20
    historical $159,900
  7. 2023-01-24
    soldstatus $138,000
  8. 2023-01-23
    status Pending 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  9. 2023-01-23
    soldstatus Closed 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  10. 2022-12-05
    historical Active Under Contract 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  11. 2022-10-24
    price $139,000 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  12. 2022-09-26
    listed $149,900 Active 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  13. 2022-09-20
    historical $149,900 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?

  14. 1999-04-30
    soldstatus $67,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,772 · $398/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,772 · $398/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,601
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,772
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,968
− Management
−$1,968
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$571
After-tax cash flow
$3,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,152
Household income
$65,952
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.27%
Current HPI
145.9237
Rent YoY
▲ 14.47%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $149,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $152,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $154,950 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-23 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-05 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-24 Price Changed $139,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-26 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-20 Coming Soon $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,772 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…