1416 Wabash Ave · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private ownership; Solar (green energy feature)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; Driveway; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water and sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Chain link and privacy fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room; Family room; Dining room; Covered patio; Patio; Gas fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.65%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425 Wabash Ave | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-9%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $72 | 76 |
| 1012 Forest Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,625 (+2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $95 | 64 |
| 427 S Douglas Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,587 (-0%) | 5mo | $214,900 | $135 | 61 |
| 14 Damask Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+10%) | 9mo | $209,900 | $120 | 59 |
| 641 S Virginia Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+0%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 1212 Mascoutah Ave | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,409 (-12%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $138 | 55 |
| 732 E Adams St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-8%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $110 | 53 |
| 615 Portland Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,473 (-8%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 1012 S Church St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,494 (-6%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $84 | 51 |
| 503 Wabash Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,685 (+6%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $125 | 50 |
| 1513 Mascoutah Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-8%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $137 | 45 |
| 608 E Adams St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (-13%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $101 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,432
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $89,619
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$398 /mo · $4,772/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 S Church St Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6 Sandwedge Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2200 | $2,295 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6 Sandwedge Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2200 | $3,000 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1953 Richmond Springs Ln Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2056 Huntmaster Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,525 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-12price $149,999
-
2026-05-01price $152,000
-
2026-04-06price $154,950
-
2026-03-21$159,900 Active
-
2026-03-20historical $159,900
-
2023-01-24soldstatus $138,000
-
2023-01-23status Pending 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
2023-01-23soldstatus Closed 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
2022-12-05historical Active Under Contract 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
2022-10-24price $139,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
2022-09-26$149,900 Active 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
2022-09-20historical $149,900 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This home is located on a corner lot and has 3 bedrooms with a family room with a fireplace, large, covered patio, fenced yard, shed, dining room, an oversized garage with gas heat and a/c. There is a driveway in the front of the home and a driveway on the side of the home that goes into the oversized garage. There is also a home generator. A new roof was installed 3 months ago, and the interior was just freshly painted. All electrical was brought up to code and the home has passed the Belleville Housing Codes for Occupancy. Home is in move in condition. This house qualifies for the St Clair County grant and the IDHA Grants to help with closing costs and down payment. Want more info?
-
1999-04-30soldstatus $67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,772 · $398/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,772 · $398/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,772
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$571
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+122.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $149,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $152,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $154,950 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-23 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-05 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $139,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-26 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-20 Coming Soon $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2024): $4,772 · +51.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…