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19161 Birwood St
C Composite 55.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

19161 Birwood St · Detroit, MI 48221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1942 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this classic 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath bungalow nestled in a quiet Detroit neighborhood! This inviting home blends timeless character with practical living space, making it perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a cozy place to call home. Step inside to find a bright and welcoming living area with plenty of natural light. The functional layout features three comfortable bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and a spacious kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The full basement offers endless possibilities! Use it for storage, a home gym, workshop, or finish it to create additional living space. Outside, enjoy a manageable yard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or summer gatherings. With easy access to major roads, shopping, and local amenities, this home offers both convenience and value. BATVAI

Key facts

  • Manageable yard
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Natural light

Tags

FULL BASEMENTMANAGEABLE YARDSPACIOUS KITCHENNATURAL LIGHTQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Paved road access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Living room fireplace; Full, partially finished basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.23%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19161 Meyers Rd 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 894 (-8%) 3mo $87,500 $98 66
19159 Meyers Rd 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (+12%) 3mo $87,500 $80 60
20203 Monte Vista St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+2%) 4mo $75,000 $75 59
20145 Kentucky St 0.70mi 3/1.0 949 (-3%) 5mo $97,000 $102 59
20018 Wyoming Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,043 (+7%) 4mo $66,500 $64 58
19439 Wyoming Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-11%) 6mo $65,000 $75 57
19929 Monte Vista St 0.49mi 3/1.0 860 (-12%) 2mo $75,000 $87 56
18081 Meyers Rd 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 946 (-3%) 6mo $75,000 $79 52
18000 Ilene St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,057 (+8%) 2mo $135,000 $128 48
20047 Monte Vista St 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 877 (-10%) 1mo $69,999 $80 47
19985 Meyers Rd 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 844 (-14%) 2mo $51,900 $61 44
20218 Monte Vista St 0.72mi 3/2.0 860 (-12%) 1mo $37,000 $43 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,353
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$18,389
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,497/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,100 $1.17 44d 1 0.33mi
19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,450 $1.69 17d 1 0.51mi
20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 20d 1 0.60mi
20122 Manor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,200 $1.17 44d 1 0.66mi
20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1051 $1,400 $1.33 17d 1 0.69mi
20245 Manor Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,400 $1.38 3d 1 0.78mi
19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,075 $1.20 5d 1 0.78mi
20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,275 $1.16 44d 1 0.78mi
18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 24d 1 0.79mi
20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 872 $1,300 $1.49 17d 1 0.82mi
20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 910 $1,100 $1.21 17d 1 0.84mi
20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,200 $1.15 24d 1 0.87mi
20110 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 17d 1 0.87mi
20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 891 $1,450 $1.63 44d 1 0.89mi
20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,300 $1.24 18d 1 0.92mi
20045 Greenlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 925 $1,350 $1.46 44d 1 0.92mi
17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $975 $1.26 44d 2 0.98mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.07mi
17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1122 $975 $0.87 5d 1 1.15mi
19031 Livernois Unit F Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,135 $1.94 44d 1 1.24mi
20038 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 1.29mi
17551 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1036 $1,095 $1.06 44d 1 1.36mi
21374 Ithaca Ave Ferndale, MI 3.0 1.0 996 $1,775 $1.78 24d 1 1.37mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.45mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 18d 1 1.47mi
17147 Monica St Unit 2 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 24d 1 1.47mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 44d 1 1.47mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $124,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    remarks 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (879 chars)

    Welcome home to this classic 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath bungalow nestled in a quiet Detroit neighborhood! This inviting home blends timeless character with practical living space, making it perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a cozy place to call home. Step inside to find a bright and welcoming living area with plenty of natural light. The functional layout features three comfortable bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and a spacious kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The full basement offers endless possibilities! Use it for storage, a home gym, workshop, or finish it to create additional living space. Outside, enjoy a manageable yard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or summer gatherings. With easy access to major roads, shopping, and local amenities, this home offers both convenience and value. BATVAI

  3. 2026-06-08
    listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (879 chars)

    Welcome home to this classic 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath bungalow nestled in a quiet Detroit neighborhood! This inviting home blends timeless character with practical living space, making it perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a cozy place to call home. Step inside to find a bright and welcoming living area with plenty of natural light. The functional layout features three comfortable bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and a spacious kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The full basement offers endless possibilities! Use it for storage, a home gym, workshop, or finish it to create additional living space. Outside, enjoy a manageable yard ideal for relaxing, gardening, or summer gatherings. With easy access to major roads, shopping, and local amenities, this home offers both convenience and value. BATVAI

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,497 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,710 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$213/yr (+$18/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,279
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,497
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,302
− Management
−$1,302
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$923
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$222
After-tax cash flow
$2,658/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.2% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-07-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-27 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-21 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-30 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-15 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-26 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-05 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-05 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2005-09-20 Sold (MLS) $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-12 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-05-17 Listed $127,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-03-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-11 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,497 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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