3324 Laurel Rd · Schuyler, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
$262,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
Key facts
- Garden spots
- Majestic pine trees
- Flowering plants
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $263k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (29.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#530 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Nelson County Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #92 of 131 in VA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rockfish River Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #794 of 1,108 statewide, top 74%, 268 students, 79% FRL); Nelson Middle (math 44% / reading 66%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 340 students, 78% FRL); Nelson County High (math 57% / reading 82%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 517 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 44% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Nelson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Nelson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.56%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $10,790
- Equity at exit
- $102,641
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $65,870
- Equity at exit
- $146,999
Cash invested: $73,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22971
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,379
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $800/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $53 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-170 | +10% $-245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-242 | -5% $-169 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-23 | +10% $50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-96 | +0.5pp $-164 | +1.0pp $-233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,725
- Closing costs
- $7,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-22price $262,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
-
2026-04-22price $262,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
-
2026-03-30price $267,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
-
2026-03-30price $267,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
-
2026-02-25$274,900 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
-
2026-02-25$274,900 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $800 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,156 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,356/yr (+$113/mo · 169.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,726
- − Property taxes
- −$800
- − Insurance
- −$1,314
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$7,648
- Taxable loss
- −$5,874
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nelson County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102580
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -45.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,092
- Composite
- 44.37/100
- National rank
- #2818
- State rank
- #92 of 131 in VA
Livability — Schuyler
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #24319
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,675
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,349
Population outlook (Nelson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,115 people
- By 2030
- 13,563 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 12,384 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 11,481 · -18.7%
- By 2075
- 10,103 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 8,788 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 7%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 5% Serbian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Nelson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.8% · R 53.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.5 2020: R+5.2 2016: R+5.7 2012: D+2.8 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.93%
- Current HPI
- 330.5576
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $262,900 LMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $262,900 CAAR
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $267,900 LMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $267,900 CAAR
- 2026-02-25 Listed $274,900 LMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $274,900 CAAR
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2019): $800 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…