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3324 Laurel Rd
D Composite 42.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$262,900

3324 Laurel Rd · Schuyler, VA 22971
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 2008 2.00 ac lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

Key facts

  • Garden spots
  • Majestic pine trees
  • Flowering plants

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSMAJESTIC PINE TREESFLOWERING PLANTSGARDEN SPOTSSHED WITH ELECTRICITYWHOLE HOUSE GENERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $263k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (29.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#530 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Nelson County Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #92 of 131 in VA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Rockfish River Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #794 of 1,108 statewide, top 74%, 268 students, 79% FRL); Nelson Middle (math 44% / reading 66%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 340 students, 78% FRL); Nelson County High (math 57% / reading 82%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 517 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 44% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Nelson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Nelson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,675 (29.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$10,790
Equity at exit
$102,641
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$65,870
Equity at exit
$146,999

Cash invested: $73,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22971

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,379
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $800/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $245,951
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $53 -5% $-22 +0% $-96 +5% $-170 +10% $-245
Rent -10% $-242 -5% $-169 +0% $-96 +5% $-23 +10% $50
Rate -1.0pp $36 -0.5pp $-29 base $-96 +0.5pp $-164 +1.0pp $-233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,725
Closing costs
$7,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    price $262,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

  2. 2026-04-22
    price $262,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

  3. 2026-03-30
    price $267,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

  4. 2026-03-30
    price $267,900 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

  5. 2026-02-25
    listed $274,900 Active 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

  6. 2026-02-25
    listed $274,900 Active 497-char remark
    Show marketing remark (497 chars)

    This property is situated off a main road on 2 acres that is private with mountain views, majestic pine trees, a lot of flowering plants, several garden spots and a 12 X 16 shed with electricity. The home offers lovely hardwood floors, a whole house generator, the roof is a year old, the heat pump is 6 years old, all listed appliances convey and firefly is available. The property is located between Lovingston and Charlottesville if you are looking for a easy commute to work in Charlotteville.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$800 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,156 · $180/mo
Expected delta
+$1,356/yr (+$113/mo · 169.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,161
− Mortgage interest
−$14,726
− Property taxes
−$800
− Insurance
−$1,314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$7,648
Taxable loss
−$5,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,410
After-tax cash flow
$258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nelson County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102580
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -45.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,092
Composite
44.37/100
National rank
#2818
State rank
#92 of 131 in VA

Livability — Schuyler

Score
53/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#24319

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing D- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,675
Population (ZIP)
2,349

Population outlook (Nelson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,115 people
By 2030
13,563 · -3.9%
By 2040
12,384 · -12.3%
By 2050
11,481 · -18.7%
By 2075
10,103 · -28.4%
By 2100
8,788 · -37.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 7%
Common ancestry
Swedish 5% Serbian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Nelson

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.8% · R 53.3%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.5 2020: R+5.2 2016: R+5.7 2012: D+2.8 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.93%
Current HPI
330.5576
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $262,900 LMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $262,900 CAAR
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $267,900 LMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $267,900 CAAR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $274,900 LMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $274,900 CAAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2019): $800 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…