229-22 Town Center Dr · Oxford, MS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a 3 story attached townhome with a garage. Come see it before its gone! Photos are not of the actual unit. Unit is completed and ready for showing. Can close ASAP
Key facts
- Pickle ball courts
- Prime location
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Rowandale subdivision
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Townhouse/Condo style
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Patio; In-ground pool; Subdivision covenant zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave, Dishwasher, Electric Range, Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Microwave, Dishwasher, Electric Range, Refrigerator, Electric Water Heater; Ceiling fan(s); Carpet and hardwood flooring; Central air
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $349k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in MS, #285 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Oxford School District (town): math 53% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #12 of 130 in MS (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 855 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 503 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,994/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.38%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-33,506
- Equity at exit
- $52,037
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $16,956
- Equity at exit
- $30,175
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38655
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 855
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Baldwin Dr Oxford, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 935 | $3,075 | $3.29 | 24d | 6 | 0.38mi |
| 1201 Ivy Rd Oxford, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 814 Claremont Ave Oxford, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1108 | $2,655 | $2.40 | 2d | 97 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-19days on market $349,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18price $349,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $360,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $360,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $360,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $360,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $360,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $360,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $360,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $360,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $360,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $360,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $360,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $360,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $360,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-14$360,000 Active 535-char remark
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2026-03-27historical $3,000
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2026-02-25price $3,000
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2026-02-10$3,300
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2025-05-15historical $2,950
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2025-05-06$2,950
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2025-05-06historical $2,950
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2025-05-01historical $2,950
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2025-05-01$2,950
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2025-04-08$2,950
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2023-09-29soldstatus Closed 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a 3 story attached townhome with a garage. Come see it before its gone! Photos are not of the actual unit. Unit is completed and ready for showing. Can close ASAP
-
2023-09-25$320,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a 3 story attached townhome with a garage. Come see it before its gone! Photos are not of the actual unit. Unit is completed and ready for showing. Can close ASAP
-
2023-09-25historical 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This is a 3 story attached townhome with a garage. Come see it before its gone! Photos are not of the actual unit. Unit is completed and ready for showing. Can close ASAP
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,757 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,384/yr (+$115/mo · 100.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$1,373
- − Insurance
- −$1,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,874
- − Management
- −$2,874
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$2,642
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$634
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, move-in-ready townhouse in Rowandale offers a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle in a prime location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Replace window screens — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace window screens — Improves energy efficiency and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oxford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803450
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,878
- Composite
- 42.77/100
- National rank
- #3152
- State rank
- #12 of 130 in MS
Livability — Oxford
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #285
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oxford, MS
- County
- Lafayette County · 46,156 people
- City population
- 46,156
- Metro
- Oxford, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,156
- Household income
- $68,235
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1892.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,984 people
- By 2030
- 74,726 · +11.6%
- By 2040
- 90,806 · +35.6%
- By 2050
- 108,114 · +61.4%
- By 2075
- 151,215 · +125.7%
- By 2100
- 187,997 · +180.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.3% · R 60.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+15.6 2008: R+12.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.86%
- Current HPI
- 211.5486
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Metro
- Oxford, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+12.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $360,000 NCMBR
- 2026-03-27 Rental Removed $3,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $3,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-02-10 Listed for Rent $3,300 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-05-15 Rental Removed $2,950 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-05-06 Listed for Rent $2,950 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-05-06 Rental Removed $2,950 SHOWMOJO2
- 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $2,950 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $2,950 SHOWMOJO2
- 2025-04-08 Listed for Rent $2,950 SHOWMOJO
- 2023-09-29 Sold (MLS) — NCMBR
- 2023-09-25 Delisted — NCMBR
- 2023-09-25 Listed $320,000 NCMBR
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,373 · +20.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…