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3633 Rocky Hill Rd
C+ Composite 61.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$135,500

3633 Rocky Hill Rd · East Side, PA 18661
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 405 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition $141/sqft · 9% above area Est $124k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Open concept living
  • Plenty of storage

Tags

COVERED PORCHOPEN CONCEPT LIVINGLARGE MAIN BATHROOMPLENTY OF STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $136k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $136k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#856 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Weatherly Area SD (rural): math 22% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #415 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($937 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $119,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,060
List price
$135,500
Delta
9.22%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3639 Rocky Hill Rd 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 10mo $135,000 $128 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$88,680
Equity at exit
$122,069
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
7.58×
Total profit
$249,506
Equity at exit
$263,247

Cash invested: $37,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18661

Home prices YoY
15.0%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$711
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,032/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $135,500
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $327 -5% $280 +0% $233 +5% $187 +10% $140
Rent -10% $116 -5% $175 +0% $233 +5% $292 +10% $350
Rate -1.0pp $302 -0.5pp $268 base $233 +0.5pp $198 +1.0pp $162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,875
Closing costs
$4,065
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,500 Active 405 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,500 Active 404 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,500 Active 403 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,500 Active 402 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,500 Active 400 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,500 Active 399 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,500 Active 397 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,500 Active 396 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,500 Active 395 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,500 Active 394 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,500 Active 391 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,500 Active 389 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,500 Active 388 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,500 Active 387 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,500 Active 386 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    status Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.

  17. 2025-10-08
    status Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.

  18. 2025-02-19
    listed $135,500 Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,768
− Mortgage interest
−$7,590
− Property taxes
−$2,032
− Insurance
−$678
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,421
− Management
−$1,421
− Depreciation
−$3,942
Taxable income
$683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$164
After-tax cash flow
$2,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen and bathroom, and is located on a well-maintained lot. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weatherly Area SD
NCES district ID
4225140
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$48,177
Composite
30.07/100
National rank
#6348
State rank
#415 of 539 in PA

Livability — East Side

Score
69/100
State rank
#856
US rank
#8976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Side, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,541

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 38.68%
Current HPI
296.5596
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted PMAR
  • 2025-10-08 Relisted PMAR
  • 2025-02-19 Listed $135,500 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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