3633 Rocky Hill Rd · East Side, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$135,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Open concept living
- Plenty of storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $136k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $136k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#856 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Weatherly Area SD (rural): math 22% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #415 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($937 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.38%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,060
- List price
- $135,500
- Delta
- 9.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3639 Rocky Hill Rd | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $128 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $88,680
- Equity at exit
- $122,069
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.58×
- Total profit
- $249,506
- Equity at exit
- $263,247
Cash invested: $37,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18661
- Home prices YoY
- 15.0%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$711
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $280 | +0% $233 | +5% $187 | +10% $140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $175 | +0% $233 | +5% $292 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $302 | -0.5pp $268 | base $233 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,875
- Closing costs
- $4,065
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,500 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,500 Active 404 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,500 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,500 Active 402 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,500 Active 400 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,500 Active 399 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $135,500 Active 397 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,500 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $135,500 Active 395 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,500 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $135,500 Active 391 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $135,500 Active 389 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $135,500 Active 388 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,500 Active 387 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $135,500 Active 386 DOM
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2026-05-06status Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.
-
2025-10-08status Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.
-
2025-02-19$135,500 Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
The full covered porch makes this home. Featuring open concept living in a smaller model. The contemporary cabin home has a large main bathroom and plenty of storage. With too many cabinets to list you won't have problems finding a home for all your dishes and cups. If you're looking for a smaller home all on one floor this model may be for you. Located on a fantastic lot with new homes all around. Located just minutes off the PA turnpike and all the outdoor adventures the Pocono Mountains offers. Perfect for a weekend getaway or full time residency.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,590
- − Property taxes
- −$2,032
- − Insurance
- −$678
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,421
- − Management
- −$1,421
- − Depreciation
- −$3,942
- Taxable income
- $683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$164
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen and bathroom, and is located on a well-maintained lot. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weatherly Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225140
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,177
- Composite
- 30.07/100
- National rank
- #6348
- State rank
- #415 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Side
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #856
- US rank
- #8976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Side, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,541
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.68%
- Current HPI
- 296.5596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — PMAR
- 2025-10-08 Relisted — PMAR
- 2025-02-19 Listed $135,500 PMAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…