CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
316 Kaufman
D+ Composite 50.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,900

316 Kaufman · Mount Vernon, TX 75457
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 287 Days on market
Built 1984 10,019 sqft lot $132/sqft · 5% above area Est $156k · 17% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($257/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.7% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#190 in TX, #4,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mount Vernon ISD (town): math 49% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #251 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $891 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,432 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,196
List price
$128,900
Delta
-17.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
114 Carthel 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+3%) 9mo $65,000 $64 78
205 W Rutherford St 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,024 (+4%) 2mo $99,900 $98 70
200 Miller St 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,088 (+11%) 1mo $164,900 $152 66
205 Pecan St 0.15mi 1/1.0 (-1) 840 (-14%) 6mo $75,000 $89 59
214 Yates 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,057 (+8%) 21mo $187,000 $177 52
103 Parchman St 0.32mi 2/2.0 883 (-10%) 23mo $179,000 $203 46
515 Fleming St 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+12%) 8mo $129,000 $117 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-19,513
Equity at exit
$19,219
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-15,193
Equity at exit
$11,145

Cash invested: $36,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75457

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,142 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,114
Max offer price $128,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $58 +0% $21 +5% $-15 +10% $-52
Rent -10% $-69 -5% $-24 +0% $21 +5% $66 +10% $112
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $54 base $21 +0.5pp $-12 +1.0pp $-46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,225
Closing costs
$3,867
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $128,900 Active 287 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $128,900 Active 286 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $128,900 Active 285 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $128,900 Active 284 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $128,900 Active 283 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $128,900 Active 281 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $128,900 Active 280 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $128,900 Active 277 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $128,900 Active 276 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $128,900 Active 275 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $128,900 Active 273 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $128,900 Active 270 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $128,900 Active 269 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,900 Active 268 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $128,900 Active 267 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $128,900 845-char remark
    Show marketing remark (845 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!

  17. 2026-01-27
    price $138,900 845-char remark
    Show marketing remark (845 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!

  18. 2025-09-05
    listed $153,900 Active 845-char remark
    Show marketing remark (845 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!

  19. 2003-09-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2000-04-14
    soldstatus
  21. 1996-03-07
    soldstatus
  22. 1994-04-05
    soldstatus
  23. 1990-01-16
    soldstatus
  24. 1982-04-16
    soldstatus
  25. 1982-03-09
    soldstatus
  26. 1981-04-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,809 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,359 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$550/yr (+$46/mo · 30.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,699
− Mortgage interest
−$7,220
− Property taxes
−$1,809
− Insurance
−$644
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,096
− Management
−$1,096
− Depreciation
−$3,750
Taxable loss
−$1,917
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$460
After-tax cash flow
$717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon ISD
NCES district ID
4831770
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,788
Composite
39.19/100
National rank
#4021
State rank
#251 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
74/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#4869

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,115

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,621 people
By 2030
10,648 · +0.3%
By 2040
10,629 · +0.1%
By 2050
10,486 · -1.3%
By 2075
10,038 · -5.5%
By 2100
8,816 · -17.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.5pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.0 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+63.4 2008: R+52.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.55%
Current HPI
194.2582
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $128,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $138,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $153,900 NTREIS
  • 2003-09-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-04-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-03-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-01-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1982-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1982-03-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1981-04-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,809 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…