316 Kaufman · Mount Vernon, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1984
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($257/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.7% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#190 in TX, #4,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Mount Vernon ISD (town): math 49% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #251 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $891 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.71%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,196
- List price
- $128,900
- Delta
- -17.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Carthel | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+3%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $64 | 78 |
| 205 W Rutherford St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (+4%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $98 | 70 |
| 200 Miller St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,088 (+11%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $152 | 66 |
| 205 Pecan St | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 214 Yates | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,057 (+8%) | 21mo | $187,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 103 Parchman St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 883 (-10%) | 23mo | $179,000 | $203 | 46 |
| 515 Fleming St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+12%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $117 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-19,513
- Equity at exit
- $19,219
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-15,193
- Equity at exit
- $11,145
Cash invested: $36,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75457
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $94 | -5% $58 | +0% $21 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-69 | -5% $-24 | +0% $21 | +5% $66 | +10% $112 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $54 | base $21 | +0.5pp $-12 | +1.0pp $-46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,225
- Closing costs
- $3,867
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $128,900 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $128,900 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $128,900 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $128,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $128,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $128,900 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $128,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $128,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $128,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $128,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $128,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $128,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $128,900 Active 269 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $128,900 Active 268 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $128,900 Active 267 DOM
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2026-04-20price $128,900 845-char remark
Show marketing remark (845 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!
-
2026-01-27price $138,900 845-char remark
Show marketing remark (845 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!
-
2025-09-05$153,900 Active 845-char remark
Show marketing remark (845 chars)
Charming 2-Bedroom Home Across from City Park – Mt. Vernon, TX. Welcome home to this cozy and well-kept 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located right across from the city park in the heart of Mt. Vernon! Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a smart investment, this home offers comfort, convenience, and a prime location. Enjoy peaceful park views from your front yard, along with easy access to walking trails, playgrounds, and community events. The home features a spacious living area, an efficient kitchen, and two comfortable bedrooms perfect for relaxing or working from home. Situated in a quiet neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, dining and all the charm of Mt. Vernon Texas! This move-in-ready property won’t last long—schedule your showing today and enjoy small-town living at its best!
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2003-09-30soldstatus
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2000-04-14soldstatus
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1996-03-07soldstatus
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1994-04-05soldstatus
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1990-01-16soldstatus
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1982-04-16soldstatus
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1982-03-09soldstatus
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1981-04-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,359 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$550/yr (+$46/mo · 30.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,220
- − Property taxes
- −$1,809
- − Insurance
- −$644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$3,750
- Taxable loss
- −$1,917
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$460
- After-tax cash flow
- $717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Vernon ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831770
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,788
- Composite
- 39.19/100
- National rank
- #4021
- State rank
- #251 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #4869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,115
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,621 people
- By 2030
- 10,648 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 10,629 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 10,486 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 10,038 · -5.5%
- By 2100
- 8,816 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.5pp · 2024: -68.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.0 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+63.4 2008: R+52.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.55%
- Current HPI
- 194.2582
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-16.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $128,900 NTREIS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $138,900 NTREIS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $153,900 NTREIS
- 2003-09-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-04-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-03-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-04-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-01-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1982-04-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1982-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1981-04-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,809 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…