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4420 S Olie Ave
D Composite 43.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$155,000

4420 S Olie Ave · Oklahoma City, OK 73109
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,279 sqft · Townhouse public records · 109 Days on market
Built 1985 4,373 sqft lot $121/sqft · at area comps Est $161k · at est. $50/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!

Key facts

  • Stone walking path
  • Covered patio
  • New side fence

Tags

BRICK HALF-DUPLEXCOZY BRICK GAS-LOG FIREPLACECOVERED PATIOSTONE WALKING PATHNEW SIDE FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (16.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Adelaide Lee Es (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #802 of 845 statewide, top 100%, 410 students, 0% FRL); Classen Ms of Advanced Studies (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #6 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Capitol Hill Hs (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #444 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 1,455 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,924 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.97%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,790
List price
$155,000
Delta
-3.60%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4406 S Olie Ave 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,322 (+3%) 1mo $170,000 $129 92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$77,107
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.49×
Total profit
$238,226
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73109

Home prices YoY
9.5%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$-144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $129,623
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-56 -5% $-100 +0% $-144 +5% $-188 +10% $-231
Rent -10% $-237 -5% $-190 +0% $-144 +5% $-97 +10% $-50
Rate -1.0pp $-66 -0.5pp $-104 base $-144 +0.5pp $-184 +1.0pp $-225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4426 S Olie Ave Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 1159 $1,220 $1.05 13d 1 0.00mi
632 SW 44th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 958 $1,000 $1.04 6d 1 0.11mi
624 SW 44th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 1206 $1,500 $1.24 45d 1 0.13mi
733 SW 47th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1228 $1,180 $0.96 25d 1 0.19mi
620 SW 50th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 977 $1,100 $1.13 4d 1 0.43mi
800 SW 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 920 $995 $1.08 25d 1 0.56mi
1132 SW 40th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,350 $0.94 25d 1 0.57mi
5413 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1460 $2,100 $1.44 4d 1 0.69mi
3407 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 900 $980 $1.09 45d 1 0.71mi
5113 S Sage Ave Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 996 $1,025 $1.03 4d 1 0.72mi
24 SW 54th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1272 $1,400 $1.10 45d 1 1.01mi
1421 SW 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1535 $1,500 $0.98 4d 1 1.02mi
4101 S Shields Blvd Unit Shields 3B Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 957 $1,050 $1.10 25d 1 1.07mi
4101 S Shields Blvd Apt 3B Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 957 $1,025 $1.07 6d 1 1.07mi
4330 S Barnes Ave Oklahoma City, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 860 $937 $1.09 6d 9 1.27mi
1004 SW 62nd St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 968 $1,295 $1.34 6d 1 1.27mi
1402 SW 59th St Unit 3202 Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 950 $865 $0.91 25d 1 1.34mi
1402 SW 59th St Apt 3201 Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 950 $865 $0.91 45d 1 1.34mi
1402 SW 59th St Apt 1112 Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.5 925 $980 $1.06 45d 1 1.36mi
1345 SW 27th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1153 $1,095 $0.95 4d 1 1.39mi
2140 SW 35th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 976 $1,300 $1.33 45d 1 1.40mi
1433 SW 60th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 942 $1,400 $1.49 45d 1 1.45mi
1020 SW 65th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 956 $1,330 $1.39 45d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $155,000 814-char remark
    Show marketing remark (814 chars)

    Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!

  16. 2026-03-04
    listed $160,000 Active 814-char remark
    Show marketing remark (814 chars)

    Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!

  17. 2023-05-05
    soldstatus $140,000
  18. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!

  19. 2023-03-25
    status Pending 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!

  20. 2023-03-20
    listed $140,000 Active 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!

  21. 1985-09-01
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,774 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,774 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,151
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,774
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$4,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,069
After-tax cash flow
$-655/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oklahoma City
NCES district ID
4022770
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,606
Composite
7.0/100
National rank
#9970
State rank
#254 of 270 in OK

Livability — Oklahoma City

Score
80/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1635

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oklahoma City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
498,656
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,378
Household income
$43,133
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1473.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 24% White 23% Black 9% Native American 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.48%
Current HPI
270.5333
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $155,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $160,000 MLSOK
  • 2023-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSOK
  • 2023-03-25 Pending MLSOK
  • 2023-03-20 Listed $140,000 MLSOK
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,774 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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