4420 S Olie Ave · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!
Key facts
- Stone walking path
- Covered patio
- New side fence
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (16.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Adelaide Lee Es (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #802 of 845 statewide, top 100%, 410 students, 0% FRL); Classen Ms of Advanced Studies (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #6 of 345 statewide, top 1%, 855 students, 0% FRL); Capitol Hill Hs (math 2% / reading 4%, grade F, #444 of 447 statewide, top 99%, 1,455 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 82% district-wide (82 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.97%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,790
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -3.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4406 S Olie Ave | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,322 (+3%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $129 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $77,107
- Equity at exit
- $139,636
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.49×
- Total profit
- $238,226
- Equity at exit
- $301,131
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73109
- Home prices YoY
- 9.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $-144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-100 | +0% $-144 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-237 | -5% $-190 | +0% $-144 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-66 | -0.5pp $-104 | base $-144 | +0.5pp $-184 | +1.0pp $-225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4426 S Olie Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,220 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 632 SW 44th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 6d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 624 SW 44th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 733 SW 47th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,180 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 620 SW 50th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 800 SW 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $995 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1132 SW 40th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5413 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3407 S Lee Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $980 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5113 S Sage Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,025 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 24 SW 54th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1421 SW 52nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4101 S Shields Blvd Unit Shields 3B Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4101 S Shields Blvd Apt 3B Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,025 | $1.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4330 S Barnes Ave Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $937 | $1.09 | 6d | 9 | 1.27mi |
| 1004 SW 62nd St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Unit 3202 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Apt 3201 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1402 SW 59th St Apt 1112 Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $980 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1345 SW 27th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,095 | $0.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2140 SW 35th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1433 SW 60th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 942 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1020 SW 65th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,330 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $155,000 814-char remark
Show marketing remark (814 chars)
Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!
-
2026-03-04$160,000 Active 814-char remark
Show marketing remark (814 chars)
Charming and move-in ready brick half-duplex featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an oversized one-car garage with 1,279 sq ft of living space. This well-maintained home is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking low-maintenance living. The spacious living room offers a cozy brick gas-log fireplace. The primary suite includes access to a covered patio, perfect for relaxing. The backyard features a charming stone walking path, several flower beds, and a new side fence for added privacy. HOA fee of $50/month covers lawn maintenance and common area upkeep. Roof replaced in 2020. Kitchen remodeled in 2023. Great location just minutes from Walmart, restaurants, and a hospital, offering convenient access to shopping and medical services. A wonderful opportunity that won’t last long!
-
2023-05-05soldstatus $140,000
-
2023-05-01soldstatus $140,000 Closed 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!
-
2023-03-25status Pending 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!
-
2023-03-20$140,000 Active 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
1/2 Duplex brick home, move-in ready, & just cute as can be. 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, oversized one-car garage with 1279 SqFt. This home would be good for any family just starting out or a fabulous retirement home. $50 HOA fee per month covers lawn maintenance & common areas. Large living with brick gas-log fireplace. Nice, covered patio off Master Suite, small backyard w/cute stone walking path & several flower beds to enjoy! Roof is only 3 years old. Dishwasher has a leak. Gas Fireplace has not been used by current owners. Selling AS-IS. This will not last long!!!
-
1985-09-01soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,774 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,774
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$4,454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $-655/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,378
- Household income
- $43,133
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1473.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 24% White 23% Black 9% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.48%
- Current HPI
- 270.5333
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+127.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $155,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-04 Listed $160,000 MLSOK
- 2023-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-01 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSOK
- 2023-03-25 Pending — MLSOK
- 2023-03-20 Listed $140,000 MLSOK
- 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,774 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…