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5721 Magnolia Dr
B Composite 71.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$70,000

5721 Magnolia Dr · Jackson, MS 39209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,256 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1963 0.28 ac lot $56/sqft · 41% above area Est $62k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 5721 Magnolia Drive! Perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy a bright and inviting living area, a nice kitchen and generously sized bedrooms. Step outside to a large backyard perfect for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Just minutes away from the city of Clinton. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities. Call your favorite Realtor to schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • Nice kitchen
  • Large backyard

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDBRIGHT LIVING AREANICE KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.28 acres lot

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built in public-record year (year built from public records)
  • Exterior features: Architectural asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Laminate flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John Hopkins Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 280 students, 100% FRL); Bailey Middle Apac School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #18 of 179 statewide, top 10%, 247 students, 100% FRL); Provine High School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 774 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.03%
Cash-on-cash
31.21%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$62,192
List price
$70,000
Delta
12.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5717 Wildflower Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,283 (+2%) 8mo $119,000 $93 87
151 Queen Joanna Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 6mo $52,900 $42 83
135 Queen Anne Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 5mo $64,900 $52 78
344 Queen Margaret Ln 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+4%) 1mo $74,900 $58 76
5746 Magnolia Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,161 (-8%) 14mo $105,000 $90 73
5629 Queen Mary Ln 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,272 (+1%) 6mo $90,000 $71 71
237 Queen Anne Ln 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+4%) 8mo $44,500 $34 71
131 Queen Joanna Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+10%) 6mo $68,000 $49 67
5770 Queen Mary Ln 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,184 (-6%) 1mo $74,900 $63 64
506 Lowder Dr 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,318 (+5%) 4mo $62,500 $47 61
5665 Queen Mary Ln 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,192 (-5%) 15mo $67,000 $56 59
5585 Queen Eleanor Ln 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,348 (+7%) 12mo $95,000 $70 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$70,606
Equity at exit
$63,062
10-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
10.31×
Total profit
$182,432
Equity at exit
$135,995

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39209

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $534 +0% $510 +5% $486 +10% $461
Rent -10% $410 -5% $460 +0% $510 +5% $559 +10% $609
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $528 base $510 +0.5pp $492 +1.0pp $473

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5629 Queen Mary Ln Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,395 $1.10 16d 1 0.38mi
5301 Queen Mary Ln Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,338 $1.22 16d 1 0.65mi
127 Barbara Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1584 $850 $0.54 23d 1 1.11mi
5501 US-80 Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1089 $1,073 $0.99 45d 1 1.42mi
5501 US-80 Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,231 $0.91 16d 1 1.42mi
5501 US-80 Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,231 $0.91 46d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 405-char remark
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $70,000 Active 405-char remark
  3. 1978-08-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,090
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,319
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,276
After-tax cash flow
$4,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,776
Household income
$36,344
Rent vs Own
52.3% rent · 47.7% own
Severe rent burden
1627.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.28%
Current HPI
312.6754
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $70,000 MLSU
  • 1978-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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