1918 Warford St · Perry, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled and ready to welcome you home! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fresh, modern feel with thoughtful updates throughout. You’ll love the open floor plan featuring new wood floors, brand new carpet, and a beautifully updated kitchen with new cabinets and appliances. The spacious layout includes a dedicated laundry room and a bonus attic space—perfect for a home office, playroom, or extra storage. A new addition on the back nearly doubles the living space, giving you plenty of room to spread out and enjoy. Outside, you’ll find great curb appeal with new siding, a charming front porch with cedar accents and new railing, plus a back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The large yard and 1-car garage complete the package. This move-in ready home blends modern updates with comfortable living—come take a look!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New siding
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.9% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#273 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Perry Community School District (town): math 51% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #266 of 289 in IA (top 92%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,503 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (630 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +74% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $145k implies a 458% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.46%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,172
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -19.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Lucinda St | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,308 (+1%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $129 | 83 |
| 2223 Warford St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+2%) | 7mo | $217,000 | $165 | 78 |
| 2416 Taft St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $97 | 77 |
| 1718 Otley Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+4%) | 8mo | $196,000 | $146 | 75 |
| 2611 Lucinda St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (-6%) | 1mo | $208,000 | $171 | 70 |
| 1819 Otley Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,443 (+12%) | 0mo | $175,500 | $122 | 67 |
| 2750 Donna Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,259 (-3%) | 4mo | $227,900 | $181 | 62 |
| 2423 Iowa St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,382 (+7%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 1812 Evelyn St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $135 | 58 |
| 1811 Iowa St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,098 (-15%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $223 | 56 |
| 1306 Evelyn St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (+11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 1904 6th St | 0.55mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,141 (-12%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $140 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-16,084
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,584
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50220
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $199 | -5% $158 | +0% $117 | +5% $76 | +10% $35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $66 | +0% $117 | +5% $168 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $190 | -0.5pp $154 | base $117 | +0.5pp $79 | +1.0pp $41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2105 Willis Ave Perry, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1029 | $1,595 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2103 Willis Ave Perry, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1029 | $1,595 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2516 Perry Park Ave Unit A Perry, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $850 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1011 Evelyn St Unit 1 Perry, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 913 Willis Ave Perry, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2908 Kading Rd Perry, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $920 | $0.91 | 15d | 5 | 0.83mi |
| 2902 Iowa St Unit 6 Perry, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $695 | $0.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2902 Iowa St Unit 13 Perry, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3307 Mc Kinley St Perry, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2709 1st Ave Perry, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-14status $145,000 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$160,000 Active 866-char remark
Show marketing remark (866 chars)
Completely remodeled and ready to welcome you home! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fresh, modern feel with thoughtful updates throughout. You’ll love the open floor plan featuring new wood floors, brand new carpet, and a beautifully updated kitchen with new cabinets and appliances. The spacious layout includes a dedicated laundry room and a bonus attic space—perfect for a home office, playroom, or extra storage. A new addition on the back nearly doubles the living space, giving you plenty of room to spread out and enjoy. Outside, you’ll find great curb appeal with new siding, a charming front porch with cedar accents and new railing, plus a back deck ideal for relaxing or entertaining. The large yard and 1-car garage complete the package. This move-in ready home blends modern updates with comfortable living—come take a look!
-
2021-09-23soldstatus $26,000 Closed 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Handyman special. Selling As-Is.
-
2021-08-24status Pending 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Handyman special. Selling As-Is.
-
2021-08-20$20,000 Active 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Handyman special. Selling As-Is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,605 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$671/yr (+$56/mo · 71.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,039
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$249
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,654/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perry Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922530
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,382
- Composite
- 46.37/100
- National rank
- #2460
- State rank
- #266 of 289 in IA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #5276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, IA
- City population
- 9,251
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,251
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,904 people
- By 2030
- 127,807 · +14.2%
- By 2040
- 160,576 · +43.5%
- By 2050
- 194,154 · +73.5%
- By 2075
- 271,895 · +143.0%
- By 2100
- 326,525 · +191.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+2.0 2016: R+9.6 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.94%
- Current HPI
- 212.8459
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+700.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $160,000 DMMLS
- 2021-09-23 Sold (MLS) $26,000 DMMLS
- 2021-08-24 Pending — DMMLS
- 2021-08-20 Listed $20,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…