112 Carey St · Plains, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming 3-bed, 2-bath home in the heart of Plains! Featuring a functional layout and comfortable living space, this home offers endless potential to make it your own. The lower level provides additional space perfect for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Lower level
- Functional layout
- Recreation area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating with baseboard distribution
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.8% in Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#286 in PA, #2,528 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities D.
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.33%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,685
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -8.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Hemlock St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+4%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $115 | 84 |
| 42 Mack St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-6%) | 0mo | $239,900 | $170 | 81 |
| 20 Hancock St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,412 (-6%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $108 | 79 |
| 26 Delaware St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (-2%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $172 | 72 |
| 185 Main St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,499 (+0%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $173 | 70 |
| 123 Atherton St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-7%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $162 | 69 |
| 5 Sarah St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (-15%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $115 | 67 |
| 1 Mccullough Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (-2%) | 1mo | $26,000 | $18 | 66 |
| 387 Main St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,481 (-1%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $143 | 59 |
| 23 Laurel St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+11%) | 2mo | $251,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 19 Cottage Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (-14%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $148 | 44 |
| 123 William St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+7%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $134 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,422
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $13,194
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18705
- Home prices YoY
- -22.7%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,497 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,821/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $318 | -5% $279 | +0% $239 | +5% $200 | +10% $160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $121 | -5% $180 | +0% $239 | +5% $298 | +10% $358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $275 | base $239 | +0.5pp $203 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 W Carey St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 17 E Carey St Unit 3 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 26 E Carey St Apt 4 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 13 Charles St Unit 15 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 214 Mayock St Unit 3 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9 Snowden St Forty Fort, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 210 E Thomas St Wilkes-Barre, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11 Holiday Dr Kingston, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1083 | $2,639 | $2.44 | 14d | 14 | 1.26mi |
| 942 Wyoming Ave Unit A Forty Fort, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 19 Center St Plains, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13 E Chestnut St Unit 1 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1154 Murray St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 42 Cleveland St Wilkes Barre, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 746 N Washington St Unit 1 Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 98 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 157 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 151 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-13$139,900 Active 392-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,016 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$195/yr (+$16/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,821
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,420
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8409
- State rank
- #469 of 539 in PA
Livability — Plains
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #286
- US rank
- #2528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plains, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,624
- Household income
- $59,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 549.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.77%
- Current HPI
- 243.9176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-13 Listed $139,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,821 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…