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40 Forester St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

40 Forester St · Rochester, NY 14609
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,685 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1910 3,920 sqft lot Est $142k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Another Rockin' Rochester Property! A well-maintained duplex investment property offering two spacious 2-bed, 1-bath units, each occupied by long-term, reliable tenants who provide consistent and predictable rental performance. Generating a solid $20,700 in annual rental income, this property delivers immediate cash flow with minimal turnover—an ideal opportunity for both seasoned and first-time investors seeking stability in the Rochester market. Each unit features a practical layout with comfortable living areas, functional kitchens, and well-sized bedrooms. Tenants benefit from off-street parking, a valuable convenience in the neighborhood and a strong contributor to tenant retenti

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Annual rental income
  • Off-street parking

Tags

DUPLEX INVESTMENT PROPERTYANNUAL RENTAL INCOMEIMMEDIATE CASH FLOWOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
  • Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; rent includes trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include maintenance structure, maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water from spring
  • Home design: 2-story residential 2-unit property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built (existing)
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Fence; Near public transit; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes an eat-in kitchen with oven/range and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies by area
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bathroom in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$141,540) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $812/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,720/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2183% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.40%
Cap rate
30.65%
Cash-on-cash
86.98%
DSCR
4.87
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,540
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
659 Bay St 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-6%) 7mo $65,500 $41 75
37 Forester St 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,494 (-11%) 7mo $82,000 $55 74
87 Newcomb St 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,760 (+4%) 6mo $152,000 $86 72
188 Cummings St 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,738 (+3%) 10mo $146,500 $84 71
16-20 Cummings St 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,564 (-7%) 11mo $129,000 $82 68
415 Fernwood Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,636 (-3%) 14mo $163,000 $100 66
22 5th St 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,803 (+7%) 7mo $110,000 $61 61
567 Hayward Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,694 (+0%) 6mo $230,000 $136 60
71 Crombie St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,445 (-14%) 3mo $122,000 $84 59
349 Hazelwood 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,800 (+7%) 6mo $166,000 $92 49
46 Peck St 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,526 (-9%) 11mo $138,000 $90 49
296 Parsells Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,904 (+13%) 4mo $133,000 $70 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.9%
Equity multiple
5.67×
Total profit
$104,508
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
96.8%
Equity multiple
13.86×
Total profit
$288,018
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14609

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,720 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $869/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$571
Net cashflow
$1,624

Break-even live

Break-even rent $665
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,669 -5% $1,646 +0% $1,624 +5% $1,601 +10% $1,578
Rent -10% $1,409 -5% $1,516 +0% $1,624 +5% $1,731 +10% $1,838
Rate -1.0pp $1,664 -0.5pp $1,644 base $1,624 +0.5pp $1,603 +1.0pp $1,582

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,720

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 44d 1 0.07mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 22d 1 0.19mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 22d 1 0.34mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 44d 1 0.52mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 22d 1 0.52mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 4d 1 0.59mi
207 Lux St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 11d 1 0.64mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 0.69mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 4d 1 0.85mi
1 Champeney Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1936 $1,650 $0.85 15d 1 0.93mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 44d 1 0.93mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 44d 1 0.93mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 11d 1 0.98mi
59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1728 $1,800 $1.04 3d 1 1.13mi
108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 1.17mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 11d 1 1.25mi
733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,850 $1.32 44d 1 1.25mi
1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1273 $2,100 $1.65 11d 1 1.29mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,600 $1.32 19d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-27
    listed $80,000 Active
  12. 2022-05-02
    soldstatus $75,000
  13. 2006-06-14
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$869 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,110 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$242/yr (+$20/mo · 27.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,640
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$869
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,611
− Management
−$2,611
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$19,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,642
After-tax cash flow
$14,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
40,274
Household income
$64,603
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.57%
Current HPI
328.7053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $80,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $869 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…