100 Dahlgren Ave Unit B · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.31%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$194,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom ranch with 1 full bathroom, first-time buyer opportunity! This cozy home features a spacious backyard, great for gardening, or relaxing. Enjoy oversized decks on both the front and back—perfect for outdoor living in a peaceful, quiet setting. Priced under $200K, this home offers great value and opportunity. Be sure to check with your lender about available down payment and closing cost assistance programs for first-time buyers.
Key facts
- 7,927 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking and driveway spaces; Detached garage (1,078 sq. ft.)
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached ranch-style home; Single-story
- Construction: Crawl foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Approximately 0.182 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; First-floor bedroom with full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($682/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.25%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Dahlgren Ave Unit B | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (0%) | 1mo | $194,700 | $181 | 99 |
| 12 Oakcrest St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,115 (+3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $108 | 79 |
| 132 Afton Pkwy | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-2%) | 3mo | $244,900 | $232 | 74 |
| 25 Fiske St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (+6%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $205 | 61 |
| 59 Bainbridge Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,214 (+13%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 132 Cushing St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-6%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $212 | 58 |
| 81 Channing Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (+13%) | 7mo | $227,900 | $188 | 57 |
| 3 Prospect Pkwy | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+13%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $104 | 50 |
| 11 Aylwin Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,165 (+8%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $112 | 49 |
| 1512 Boxwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+12%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $302 | 43 |
| 15 Sampson Pl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+15%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $162 | 42 |
| 2 Sampson Pl | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-15%) | 1mo | $209,550 | $228 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $111,331
- Equity at exit
- $175,401
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $328,541
- Equity at exit
- $378,259
Cash invested: $54,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23702
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,021
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,271/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $112 | +0% $57 | +5% $2 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-78 | -5% $-11 | +0% $57 | +5% $124 | +10% $192 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $155 | -0.5pp $106 | base $57 | +0.5pp $6 | +1.0pp $-45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,675
- Closing costs
- $5,841
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Cooper Dr Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 134 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,450 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3728 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 21 DeKalb Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $2,550 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2906 Chestnut St Unit 1328007P Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $4,650 | $4.91 | 9d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 102 Francis St #98 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 98 Francis St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2756 Peach St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-30status Under Contract
-
2026-04-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-08$194,700 Active
-
2024-05-13soldstatus $195,000
-
2024-04-10status Under Contract
-
2024-04-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-03-28$195,000 Active
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $6,100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,271 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,271 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 31% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,271
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$5,664
- Taxable loss
- −$2,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$627
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,485
- Household income
- $48,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 534.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.70%
- Current HPI
- 340.0817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-96.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $194,700 REINMLS
- 2024-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-10 Pending — REINMLS
- 2024-04-05 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2024-03-28 Listed $195,000 REINMLS
- 2023-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $6,100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,271 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…