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4216 N Ashton Ave
C Composite 55.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

4216 N Ashton Ave · Peoria, IL 61614
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1945 3,750 sqft lot $109/sqft · at area comps Est $104k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Renter occupied home for sale that is soon available for OWNER occupied potential at end of May. Rent was 1,000 per month which is 12k per year of passive income just blocks away from the activity of downtown Peoria Heights if you want to return this home to investment opportunity. Discover this delightful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home with tons of potential. Home needs 48 hours for showings due to tenant occupied, and maybe more depending on moving, work, and personal schedule.

Key facts

  • 3,750 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1945

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1945; Single-story living area noted (multiple levels referenced: main, upper, lower, basement, additional level)
  • Construction: Year built 1945
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 13' x 9')
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level) — approx. 12' x 11' and 11' x 11', each with egress windows
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Vinyl in living room and family room; Laminate in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces; Central air; Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $105k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.28%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,846
List price
$105,000
Delta
1.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4212 N Prospect Rd 0.07mi 2/1.0 979 (+2%) 3mo $100,500 $103 91
1404 E Moneta Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 952 (-1%) 6mo $135,000 $142 85
1216 E Rouse Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+9%) 1mo $164,000 $157 78
1010 E Moneta Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (+2%) 7mo $85,000 $87 70
1002 E Samuel Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 968 (+1%) 5mo $130,000 $134 67
1216 E Duryea Ave 0.46mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (+5%) 7mo $138,000 $137 59
1409 E Duryea Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 836 (-13%) 2mo $120,000 $144 56
705 E Cox Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 897 (-7%) 2mo $125,000 $139 55
909 E Moneta Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 840 (-12%) 6mo $110,000 $131 54
709 E Cox Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (-8%) 2mo $75,000 $84 54
1505 E London Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,040 (+8%) 8mo $68,000 $65 53
1516 E Tripp Ave 0.71mi 1/1.5 (-1) 904 (-6%) 6mo $53,000 $59 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$571
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$43,451
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61614

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,842/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $947
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3912 N Atlantic Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $1,100 $1.33 43d 1 0.27mi
811 E Lake Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 576 $875 $1.52 13d 1 0.42mi
813 E Sciota Ave Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 13d 1 0.43mi
4914 N Best St Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 43d 1 0.90mi
228 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit A2 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 13d 1 0.91mi
249 E Oak Cliff Ct Unit 4 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 13d 1 0.96mi
126 E Lake Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 13d 9 1.00mi
5106 N Glen Elm Dr Peoria Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,400 $2.38 13d 1 1.05mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 2C Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 21d 1 1.23mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Apt 3D Peoria, IL 1.0 1.0 775 $775 $1.00 21d 1 1.23mi
4809 Knoxville Ave Unit 4819 4B, 5A, & 5B Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 13d 1 1.23mi
737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $105,000 Active 486-char remark
  18. 2024-12-05
    historical $1,000
  19. 2024-11-19
    price $1,000
  20. 2024-10-16
    listed $1,100
  21. 2024-10-14
    historical
  22. 2024-09-13
    price
  23. 2024-09-02
    listed Active
  24. 2021-08-06
    historical
  25. 2001-10-25
    soldstatus $49,900
  26. 2001-10-25
    soldstatus $50,000
  27. 2001-09-24
    listed $49,900
  28. 1998-06-10
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,842 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,113 · $176/mo
Expected delta
+$271/yr (+$23/mo · 14.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,070
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,842
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$124
After-tax cash flow
$2,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
27,370
Household income
$66,924
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1179.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.07%
Current HPI
185.122
Rent YoY
▲ 10.35%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $105,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-05 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-11-19 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-16 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-14 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-13 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-02 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-25 Sold (MLS) $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-09-24 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,842 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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