590 Meek St · Vidor, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Special. .. . There's nothing a little creative vision can't fix. This house is located on a great lot in an established neighborhood. A little TLC can help turn this house into a perfect home! Property is being sold "AS-IS".
Key facts
- Listed 256 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.9% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 123.55%
- DSCR
- 6.50
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,752
- List price
- $29,000
- Delta
- -75.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170 Maple St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,002 (+0%) | 3mo | $16,000 | $16 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.98×
- Total profit
- $48,557
- Equity at exit
- $4,324
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.66×
- Total profit
- $110,883
- Equity at exit
- $2,507
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77662
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $836
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 Mill St Unit B Vidor, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $995 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 290 Beach St Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 575 Moreland St Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,395 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 315 N Dwayne Cir Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 475 S Denver St Vidor, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $850 | $0.93 | 43d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 475 S Denver St Unit St216 Vidor, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $850 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $29,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $29,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $29,000 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Investors Special. .. . There's nothing a little creative vision can't fix. This house is located on a great lot in an established neighborhood. A little TLC can help turn this house into a perfect home! Property is being sold "AS-IS".
-
2025-10-06$39,900 Active 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Investors Special. .. . There's nothing a little creative vision can't fix. This house is located on a great lot in an established neighborhood. A little TLC can help turn this house into a perfect home! Property is being sold "AS-IS".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $224 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$307/yr (+$26/mo · 137.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $10,163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vidor ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844160
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,169
- Composite
- 33.95/100
- National rank
- #5331
- State rank
- #422 of 826 in TX
Livability — Vidor
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #576
- US rank
- #11001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vidor, TX
- County
- Orange County · 87,112 people
- City population
- 25,041
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,041
- Household income
- $72,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 401.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,065 people
- By 2030
- 89,591 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 91,982 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 93,023 · +5.6%
- By 2075
- 94,871 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 88,155 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.46%
- Current HPI
- 141.0844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-27.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $29,000 BBOR
- 2025-10-06 Listed $39,900 BBOR
Property tax history
-18.2%/yrLatest (2025): $224 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…