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212 Lexington Ave Duplex
C Composite 55.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

212 Lexington Ave · Syracuse, NY 13210
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,997 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1900 5,250 sqft lot Est $222k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fully updated duplex featuring modern finishes throughout both units. Recent improvements include refreshed kitchens, bathrooms, flooring, lighting, and paint. Separate utilities and strong rental potential make this an excellent owner-occupant or investment opportunity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major highways!

Key facts

  • Refreshed kitchens
  • Updated duplex
  • Refreshed bathrooms

Tags

UPDATED DUPLEXREFRESHED KITCHENSREFRESHED BATHROOMSSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIALCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units; Two units in the community; Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters
  • Financial info: Operating expenses may include water/sewer (see remarks); Owner pays water (per remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; Resale property; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Existing year built (pre-owned property)
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater noted (appliance/service)
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each with 2 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one full bath per unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Luxury vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas and electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $790 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $395/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,129/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $280k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $279,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.10%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,667
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 Westmoreland Ave 0.28mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,064 (+3%) 8mo $230,000 $111 70
457-459 Westmoreland Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,887 (-6%) 9mo $248,000 $131 64
328 Westmoreland Ave 0.28mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (+7%) 9mo $245,000 $115 63
807 Burnet Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+1%) 4mo $205,000 $102 62
339 N Beech St 0.66mi 5/2.0 2,016 (+1%) 9mo $190,000 $94 60
129-131 Mather St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,862 (-7%) 11mo $168,000 $90 46
112 Ashworth Pl 0.67mi 5/2.0 1,858 (-7%) 16mo $300,000 $161 44
315 Fellows Ave 0.63mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,100 (+5%) 12mo $395,000 $188 43
107 Craton St 0.72mi 5/2.0 2,228 (+12%) 7mo $280,000 $126 41
1628 Hawley Ave 0.59mi 5/2.0 1,812 (-9%) 21mo $190,000 $105 39
522 Winton St 0.73mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,112 (+6%) 18mo $150,000 $71 36
350 Elm St 0.73mi 6/3.0 (+1) 1,806 (-10%) 20mo $156,000 $86 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$21,403
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$158,269
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13210

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Rents YoY
11.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,129 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,167/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$657
Net cashflow
$790

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,129
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $949 -5% $869 +0% $790 +5% $711 +10% $632
Rent -10% $543 -5% $667 +0% $790 +5% $914 +10% $1,037
Rate -1.0pp $931 -0.5pp $861 base $790 +0.5pp $718 +1.0pp $644

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
922 Westcott St Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 21d 1 0.85mi
365 Green St Syracuse, NY 5.0 3.5 2263 $3,300 $1.46 21d 1 1.01mi
215 Locksley Rd Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.5 2352 $4,300 $1.83 14d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $279,900 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $279,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    listed $279,900 Active
  7. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,167 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,948 · $246/mo
Expected delta
+$1,782/yr (+$148/mo · 152.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,548
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,167
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,004
− Management
−$3,004
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable income
$5,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,237
After-tax cash flow
$8,246/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,803
Household income
$41,738
Rent vs Own
70.6% rent · 29.4% own
Severe rent burden
2307.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 18% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
78% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.59%
Current HPI
378.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 11.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+459.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $279,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,167 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…