768 Northwood Dr · Laurel, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Diamond in the rough!! This two bedroom, one bath home has a brand new roof, a large back deck for relaxing, and and exterior storage building for your storage needs. With some work, this little jewel could be absolutely adorable. It's conveniently located in the city of Laurel near medical clinics, restaurants, and shopping. If you are looking for the opportunity to do a little work in order to own a nice, affordable home, then you must see this one! Don't wait, call today to schedule your showing.
Key facts
- Large back deck
- New roof
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Raised foundation; Brick veneer construction
- Construction: Brick veneer; Raised foundation
- Exterior features: Exterior storage; Deck; Porch; Front porch
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Laminate flooring; Ceramic tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fan(s); Aluminum window frames
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, commute F.
- Laurel School District (town): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #101 of 130 in MS (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.24%
- DSCR
- 3.32
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,850
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2206 N 3rd Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-11%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $37 | 45 |
| 607 W 29th St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-8%) | 23mo | $35,000 | $36 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $36,913
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 55.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.50×
- Total profit
- $92,348
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39440
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $731
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3017 Old Amy Rd Laurel, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,518 | $1.48 | 14d | 3 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 504-char remark
-
2026-06-09$60,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,534
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $8,356
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,771/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurel School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802460
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,415
- Composite
- 13.36/100
- National rank
- #9535
- State rank
- #101 of 130 in MS
Livability — Laurel
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #11413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laurel, MS
- City population
- 20,111
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,111
Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,800 people
- By 2030
- 68,773 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 68,087 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 66,241 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 58,600 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 45,744 · -33.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jones
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.63%
- Current HPI
- 126.2541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $60,000 HAAR
- 2026-06-08 Listed $60,000 LBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…