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3575 Cecil Dr
D+ Composite 47.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

3575 Cecil Dr · Beaumont, TX 77706
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,381 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 200 Days on market
Built 1962 6,970 sqft lot Est $233k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in Beaumont's west end! This home has had some great updates! Spacious living room with built-ins and stained wood flooring. Kitchen features updates: gas range, microwave, tile backsplash, and plenty of cabinet space. Large pantry with additional storage space in bonus area. Rolling island can stay. Modern dining room. 3 Bedrooms. 2 bathrooms. Office space with windows for natural lighting. Spacious back yard with one small storage building. Covered back patio.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Spacious living area
  • Private bath

Tags

FLEX ROOMSPACIOUS LIVING AREAFUNCTIONAL KITCHENPRIVATE BATHFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($199/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (3.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.46%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,389
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3641 Briar Creek Dr 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,361 (-1%) 3mo $170,000 $125 76
4750 Coolidge St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,478 (+7%) 8mo $249,900 $169 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-27,410
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-35,616
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77706

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$283 /mo · $3,400/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,469
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3925 Crow Rd Unit 49 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1306 $1,325 $1.01 43d 1 0.31mi
3995 Crow Rd Unit 201 Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1162 $1,550 $1.33 43d 1 0.36mi
4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1121 $1,150 $1.03 43d 1 0.48mi
4636 Collier St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 969 $1,030 $1.06 43d 1 0.49mi
3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1019 $1,849 $1.81 13d 10 0.58mi
6120 Folsom Dr Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 901 $1,499 $1.66 43d 1 0.74mi
2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,800 $1.24 13d 1 0.98mi
5740 Northwest Pkwy Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 884 $1,499 $1.69 13d 1 0.99mi
3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 905 $999 $1.10 13d 9 1.04mi
5356 Old Dowlen Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1112 $1,350 $1.21 43d 1 1.16mi
1620 Wellington Pl #903 Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.5 1215 $1,750 $1.44 43d 1 1.22mi
5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1442 $1,500 $1.04 23d 1 1.22mi
3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,200 $0.98 23d 1 1.27mi
3825 Hyde Park Row Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1271 $1,550 $1.22 43d 1 1.29mi
6161 Sienna TRL Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1003 $1,129 $1.13 43d 1 1.29mi
5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,575 $1.05 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-04-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    price $155,000
  3. 2026-03-24
    price $162,000
  4. 2026-02-20
    price $165,000
  5. 2026-02-06
    price $170,000
  6. 2026-01-20
    status Active
  7. 2026-01-20
    price $176,000
  8. 2025-10-20
    historical
  9. 2025-09-17
    price $160,000
  10. 2025-07-29
    price $164,999
  11. 2025-07-01
    listed $170,000 Active
  12. 2022-11-23
    soldstatus Closed 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Located in Beaumont's west end! This home has had some great updates! Spacious living room with built-ins and stained wood flooring. Kitchen features updates: gas range, microwave, tile backsplash, and plenty of cabinet space. Large pantry with additional storage space in bonus area. Rolling island can stay. Modern dining room. 3 Bedrooms. 2 bathrooms. Office space with windows for natural lighting. Spacious back yard with one small storage building. Covered back patio.

  13. 2022-11-23
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Located in Beaumont's west end! This home has had some great updates! Spacious living room with built-ins and stained wood flooring. Kitchen features updates: gas range, microwave, tile backsplash, and plenty of cabinet space. Large pantry with additional storage space in bonus area. Rolling island can stay. Modern dining room. 3 Bedrooms. 2 bathrooms. Office space with windows for natural lighting. Spacious back yard with one small storage building. Covered back patio.

  14. 2022-11-11
    historical 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Located in Beaumont's west end! This home has had some great updates! Spacious living room with built-ins and stained wood flooring. Kitchen features updates: gas range, microwave, tile backsplash, and plenty of cabinet space. Large pantry with additional storage space in bonus area. Rolling island can stay. Modern dining room. 3 Bedrooms. 2 bathrooms. Office space with windows for natural lighting. Spacious back yard with one small storage building. Covered back patio.

  15. 2022-10-07
    listed $155,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Located in Beaumont's west end! This home has had some great updates! Spacious living room with built-ins and stained wood flooring. Kitchen features updates: gas range, microwave, tile backsplash, and plenty of cabinet space. Large pantry with additional storage space in bonus area. Rolling island can stay. Modern dining room. 3 Bedrooms. 2 bathrooms. Office space with windows for natural lighting. Spacious back yard with one small storage building. Covered back patio.

  16. 2020-03-24
    soldstatus
  17. 2020-03-06
    soldstatus 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Lots of updates in this cute little cottage in Regina Howell school district. 3/2/0 has a gutted/renovated kitchen all new cabinets, etc, Exterior redone and painted, piers and paperwork on file. Some wood floors and vinyl tile floors. The floorplan is flexible, because there is a possible small 4th bedroom with the 2nd shower close by. .. .would need to put up a wall, but easy to do because there are also 2 front doors. Inside utility room!

  18. 2020-02-07
    listed $98,900 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Lots of updates in this cute little cottage in Regina Howell school district. 3/2/0 has a gutted/renovated kitchen all new cabinets, etc, Exterior redone and painted, piers and paperwork on file. Some wood floors and vinyl tile floors. The floorplan is flexible, because there is a possible small 4th bedroom with the 2nd shower close by. .. .would need to put up a wall, but easy to do because there are also 2 front doors. Inside utility room!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,400 · $283/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,400 · $283/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,884
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,400
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,431
− Management
−$1,431
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$2,344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$563
After-tax cash flow
$762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,393
Household income
$73,185
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1299.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.53%
Current HPI
159.4053
Rent YoY
▲ 0.66%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Pending BBOR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $155,000 BBOR
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $162,000 BBOR
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $165,000 BBOR
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $170,000 BBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Relisted BBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $176,000 BBOR
  • 2025-10-20 Delisted BBOR
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $160,000 BBOR
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $164,999 BBOR
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $170,000 BBOR
  • 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-11-23 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2022-11-11 Delisted BBOR
  • 2022-10-07 Listed $155,000 BBOR
  • 2020-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2020-02-07 Listed $98,900 BBOR

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,400 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…