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38362 Squirrel Rd
C Composite 58.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

38362 Squirrel Rd · Ocean View, DE 19970
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 56 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 57 ac lot $202/sqft · 98% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience easy coastal living in this well-kept 2022 single-wide home, ideally situated in a quaint marina community just minutes from the beaches of Bethany. It’s the perfect setting for those who want a relaxed, seaside lifestyle without sacrificing everyday convenience. Inside, you’ll find a light-filled, open layout with modern touches throughout. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, featuring contemporary cabinetry, updated appliances, and plenty of workspace—great for hosting friends or enjoying a quiet night in after a day at the beach. With 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home offers a comfortable retreat surrounded by refreshing coastal breezes and a lai

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Charming paver patio
  • Quiet beach access

Tags

LIGHT FILLED OPEN LAYOUTCONTEMPORARY CABINETRYUPDATED APPLIANCESCHARMING PAVER PATIOQUIET BEACH ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property manager present; Located in FEMA flood zone AE6
  • Financial info: Annual ground rent listed under income/expense items
  • HOA & community: Quarterly other fees of $82; Ground rent exists with 99 years remaining; Monthly land lease payment of $511

Exterior

  • Parking: Total 6 garage/parking spaces; Driveway with 4 spaces; 2 off-street spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Private/community water; Electric hot water; Electric heating and cooling
  • Home design: Manufactured / modular home; Single-story (main-level living); Land lease ownership
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Architectural shingle roof; Built year per assessor (year built source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Off-street parking; No basement; Above- and below-grade other structures noted; Located outside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Combination kitchen and living area; Eat-in kitchen; Master bathroom; Recessed lighting; Ceiling fans; Carpet flooring in some areas; Window treatments; Efficiency layout
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 1.9% in Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#27 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.50%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,822
List price
$159,900
Delta
97.84%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38014 Dove Rd #21352 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+1%) 15mo $90,000 $113 64
38306 Squirrel Rd #217 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-9%) 5mo $89,900 $125 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,696
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$21,146
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19970

Home prices YoY
-18.6%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30380 Crowley Dr #403 Ocean View, DE 2.0 2.0 988 $1,800 $1.82 13d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-04-23
    listed $159,900 Active 1442-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$1,337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$321
After-tax cash flow
$3,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2022 single-wide home in a marina community offers a good condition with modern updates and a coastal vibe. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Ocean View

Score
69/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#8560

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,265

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.41%
Current HPI
286.3503
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $176 · -25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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