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19601 Hamburg St
C- Composite 54.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

19601 Hamburg St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 962 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1942 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located in the heart of Detroit! This move in ready property features modern updates throughout, offering the perfect blend of comfort and style. Enjoy a spacious layout with fresh paint, updated flooring, updated kitchen with contemporary finishes, and refreshed bathrooms. The large living area provides plenty of natural light, making it perfect for entertaining or relaxing with family. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking for a turnkey opportunity, this home is a must see!Land contract terms: $15,000 down, 9.75% interest, monthly payment $1031

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1942

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Built in 1942
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Built in 1942
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot size about 0.1 acre; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 4)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (13 x 8); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $135k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19161 Hamburg St 0.27mi 3/1.0 960 (-0%) 2mo $116,000 $121 85
19730 Goulburn St 0.24mi 3/1.5 977 (+2%) 1mo $114,000 $117 83
20218 Goulburn St 0.47mi 3/1.0 965 (+0%) 1mo $12,000 $12 76
20541 Barlow St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (+2%) 2mo $60,000 $61 64
20218 Hickory St 0.68mi 3/1.0 930 (-3%) 1mo $26,000 $28 62
13452 Tacoma St 0.58mi 3/1.0 900 (-6%) 1mo $69,072 $77 61
20543 Waltham St 0.59mi 3/1.0 890 (-8%) 1mo $50,000 $56 60
19361 Beland St 0.61mi 3/1.0 901 (-6%) 2mo $47,500 $53 60
20300 Hickory St 0.73mi 3/1.0 918 (-5%) 1mo $31,000 $34 58
20020 Pelkey St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+6%) 2mo $75,000 $74 58
19140 Algonac St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 892 (-7%) 1mo $46,000 $52 49
20577 Fairport St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,078 (+12%) 1mo $65,000 $60 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,716
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,530
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $272/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $996
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 0.36mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 0.42mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 43d 1 0.42mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 17d 1 0.46mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 17d 1 0.50mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 43d 1 0.51mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 17d 1 0.53mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 43d 1 0.54mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.54mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 0.54mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 3d 1 0.56mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 21d 1 0.69mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 0.69mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 0.69mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 17d 1 0.71mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 0.74mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 0.75mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.75mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 24d 1 0.79mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 24d 1 0.85mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 43d 1 0.94mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 0.94mi
21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,225 $1.76 43d 1 0.99mi
13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 24d 1 1.02mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 12d 1 1.10mi
13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 24d 1 1.12mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 24d 1 1.15mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 1.24mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,549 $1.72 24d 1 1.34mi
11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 975 $1,500 $1.54 24d 1 1.34mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 840 $1,198 $1.43 43d 1 1.38mi
11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 672 $1,175 $1.75 43d 1 1.40mi
11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 936 $1,395 $1.49 3d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 640-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$272 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,175 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$904/yr (+$75/mo · 332.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,113
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$272
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$264
After-tax cash flow
$3,024/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2000-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-24 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-03-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-02-16 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-13.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $272 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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