CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1751 Bradford Ln
D Composite 40.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

1751 Bradford Ln · Bessemer, AL 35022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,474 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1997 0.25 ac lot $176/sqft · at area comps Est $266k · at est. $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great neighborhood for investment property. Home needs renovation. I marked that is can go conventional but that will be up to buyers lender.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Fully renovated
  • Renovated bathrooms

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDBRAND-NEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMUPDATED KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMSMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Bradford Park
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $150; HOA fees include common grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Front garage entry; 2-car garage (main level); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Electric water heater; Underground utilities; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing construction; One-side brick and Hardiplank siding; Slab foundation
  • Construction: 1-side brick and Hardiplank siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Garden/patio area; Pond on the property; Located in a subdivision; Not waterfront; No pool; Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stone countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Electric stove; Pantry and butler's pantry
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main and upper levels; Walk-in closets; Bedrooms include linen closet access
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full baths; Separate shower; Master bath on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Tile and vinyl flooring; Brick gas fireplace in the family room; All window treatments remain; Pantry and butler's pantry; Pull-down attic
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Room-sized laundry space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-131/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (0.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (25.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $167k; list at $260k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,545 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.18%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,624
List price
$260,000
Delta
-2.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1837 Brandon Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,461 (-1%) 8mo $239,900 $164 89
1705 Bradford Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,499 (+2%) 2mo $270,000 $180 88
4551 Rosser Loop Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-6%) 4mo $253,000 $183 76
4712 Rosser Loop Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,469 (-0%) 7mo $249,900 $170 73
4413 Wild Flower Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,571 (+7%) 7mo $244,900 $156 72
4542 Rosser Loop Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,638 (+11%) 6mo $275,000 $168 67
4501 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+10%) 4mo $299,900 $185 66
4762 Rosser Loop Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,365 (-7%) 11mo $260,000 $190 65
1671 Bradford Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,591 (+8%) 7mo $256,345 $161 65
5397 Summerset Way 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+6%) 4mo $240,100 $154 61
4468 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+10%) 10mo $319,900 $198 60
4456 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+10%) 4mo $314,900 $195 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-32,668
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$16,952
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,945 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $756/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,959
Max offer price $258,075
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $63 +0% $-11 +5% $-84 +10% $-158
Rent -10% $-165 -5% $-88 +0% $-11 +5% $66 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $120 -0.5pp $55 base $-11 +0.5pp $-78 +1.0pp $-147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4737 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,886 $1.15 3d 1 0.33mi
457 Flint Hill Rd Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.5 975 $860 $0.88 3d 3 0.94mi
5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,050 $1.27 3d 1 0.96mi
63 Carriage House Rd SW Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,780 $0.99 17d 1 1.15mi
505 Westchester Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,850 $1.08 45d 1 1.16mi
600 Flint Hill Ln Bessemer, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1005 $1,099 $1.09 3d 7 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $260,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $260,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $264,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $264,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $264,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $264,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $264,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $264,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $264,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $264,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $264,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $269,000 Active 326-char remark
  16. 2026-02-10
    soldstatus $167,000
  17. 2026-02-02
    soldstatus $167,000 Sold 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Great neighborhood for investment property. Home needs renovation. I marked that is can go conventional but that will be up to buyers lender.

  18. 2026-01-19
    status Pending 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Great neighborhood for investment property. Home needs renovation. I marked that is can go conventional but that will be up to buyers lender.

  19. 2026-01-12
    listed $175,000 Active 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Great neighborhood for investment property. Home needs renovation. I marked that is can go conventional but that will be up to buyers lender.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$756 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$310/yr (+$26/mo · 41.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,345
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$756
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,868
− Management
−$1,868
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,135
After-tax cash flow
$1,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $260,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $264,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $269,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-02 Sold (MLS) $167,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $175,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…