135 Rugby Dr · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Cash flow +4.0/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open house this Sat 12-2!! Price Improvement!!! Beautiful Breland built, all-brick, fully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome featuring an open layout and cozy gas fireplace. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, gas cooktop, exterior-vented range hood, and subway tile backsplash. High-end finishes throughout include 6’ engineered hardwood floors, heavy crown molding, elegant wainscoting, and craftsman-style wall paneling. Stylish shiplap accent walls in the family room and primary suite add warmth and character. Fully fenced backyard with no neighbors behind! This move-in-ready home offers a perfect blend of modern upgrades, timeless design, and low-maintenance living.
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2022
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-916 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (49.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (43.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (49.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.08%
- DSCR
- 0.46
- GRM
- 14.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $335,494
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -3.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 Rugby Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-3%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $173 | 84 |
| 166 Rugby Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $180 | 81 |
| 163 Protestant Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-3%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $146 | 79 |
| 159 Protestant Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 1mo | $288,650 | $157 | 79 |
| 161 Protestant Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 2mo | $283,400 | $154 | 78 |
| 167 Protestant Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 2mo | $282,150 | $154 | 78 |
| 166 Little Britain St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-3%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $159 | 78 |
| 179 Protestant Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-3%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $151 | 76 |
| 175 Protestant Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 4mo | $269,515 | $147 | 76 |
| 184 Little Britain St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (-3%) | 4mo | $266,745 | $145 | 75 |
| 110 Maple Spring Trl | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,775 (-6%) | 5mo | $264,470 | $149 | 57 |
| 152 Maple Spring Trl | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,969 (+4%) | 5mo | $268,000 | $136 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $116,167
- Equity at exit
- $292,786
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $383,219
- Equity at exit
- $631,404
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35758
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,841 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-916
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162 Rugby Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,980 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 107 Little Britain ST Triana, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 111 Little Britain St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 139 Little Britain St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,950 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 130 Cresent Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,500 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 130 Cresent Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,500 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 169 Protestant Dr Triana, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,995 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 169 Protestant Dr Triana, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 161 Protestant Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 159 Little Britain St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 169 Little Britain St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 161 Little Britain St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 244 Kyser Blvd Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1315 | $1,729 | $1.31 | 44d | 23 | 0.29mi |
| 129 Royal Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $1,870 | $1.36 | 14d | 4 | 0.40mi |
| 109 Maple Spring Trl Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1775 | $1,823 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 85 Shorter St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1182 | $1,799 | $1.52 | 44d | 13 | 0.70mi |
| 250 Cork Aly Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1932 | $1,775 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 128 Lewis Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,700 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 315 Cork Aly Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 133 Lewis Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1547 | $1,945 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4286 Sullivan St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 128 Michli Rd Madison, AL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1564 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 134 Michli Rd Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1564 | $1,595 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 425 Falls PT SW Unit 1 Madison, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1375 | $1,615 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 105 Whisperbrook Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 129 Telluride Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1912 | $1,885 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 114 Telluride Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,795 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 227 Park Stone Dr Madison, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2516 | $2,300 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 180 Hughes Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1373 | $2,250 | $1.64 | 14d | 45 | 1.37mi |
| 7584 Madison Pike Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,299 | $1.27 | 14d | 17 | 1.39mi |
| 228 Grantham Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 228 Grantham Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 108 Grantham Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $850 | $0.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $325,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $327,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $327,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $327,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $327,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $327,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $327,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $327,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $327,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $329,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $329,900 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Open house this Sat 12-2!! Price Improvement!!! Beautiful Breland built, all-brick, fully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome featuring an open layout and cozy gas fireplace. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, gas cooktop, exterior-vented range hood, and subway tile backsplash. High-end finishes throughout include 6’ engineered hardwood floors, heavy crown molding, elegant wainscoting, and craftsman-style wall paneling. Stylish shiplap accent walls in the family room and primary suite add warmth and character. Fully fenced backyard with no neighbors behind! This move-in-ready home offers a perfect blend of modern upgrades, timeless design, and low-maintenance living.
-
2026-03-20$335,000 Active 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Open house this Sat 12-2!! Price Improvement!!! Beautiful Breland built, all-brick, fully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome featuring an open layout and cozy gas fireplace. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, gas cooktop, exterior-vented range hood, and subway tile backsplash. High-end finishes throughout include 6’ engineered hardwood floors, heavy crown molding, elegant wainscoting, and craftsman-style wall paneling. Stylish shiplap accent walls in the family room and primary suite add warmth and character. Fully fenced backyard with no neighbors behind! This move-in-ready home offers a perfect blend of modern upgrades, timeless design, and low-maintenance living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,571 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,571 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,094
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,571
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,768
- − Management
- −$1,768
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$17,096
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,266
- Household income
- $117,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.46%
- Current HPI
- 355.2784
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-1.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $329,900 VMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $335,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+106.3%/yrLatest (2024): $4,571 · +106.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…