14249 Heffron Rd NE · Grattan, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
Key facts
- 0.68 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($802/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.91%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,285
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -57.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $85,872
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.94×
- Total profit
- $249,373
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48809
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $345/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $67
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $152 | -5% $109 | +0% $67 | +5% $24 | +10% $-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $20 | +0% $67 | +5% $114 | +10% $161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $142 | -0.5pp $105 | base $67 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $-12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2026-05-07status Pending 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2026-04-08$150,000 Active 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2026-04-08$150,000 Active 926-char remark
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2026-04-08$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (926 chars)
On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.
-
2014-09-16historical
-
1992-10-30historical
-
1992-03-09$24,900
-
1992-03-09$24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $345 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$983/yr (+$82/mo · 285.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$345
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,148
- − Management
- −$1,148
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,807
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belding Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2604530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,310
- Composite
- 23.33/100
- National rank
- #7915
- State rank
- #398 of 540 in MI
Livability — Grattan
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,292
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.30%
- Current HPI
- 412.5108
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+502.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-09-16 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1992-10-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1992-03-09 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 1992-03-09 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…