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14249 Heffron Rd NE
C- Composite 50.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$150,000

14249 Heffron Rd NE · Grattan, MI 48809
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 804 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1970 0.68 ac lot $187/sqft · 37% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

Key facts

  • 0.68 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($802/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $119,582 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.91%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$353,285
List price
$150,000
Delta
-57.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$85,872
Equity at exit
$135,132
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
6.94×
Total profit
$249,373
Equity at exit
$291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48809

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $345/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,111
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $109 +0% $67 +5% $24 +10% $-18
Rent -10% $-28 -5% $20 +0% $67 +5% $114 +10% $161
Rate -1.0pp $142 -0.5pp $105 base $67 +0.5pp $28 +1.0pp $-12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 926-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  3. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (927 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  4. 2026-04-08
    listed $150,000 Active 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (926 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  5. 2026-04-08
    listed $150,000 Active 926-char remark
    Show marketing remark (926 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  6. 2026-04-08
    listed $150,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (926 chars)

    On a . 68 acre countryside parcel overlooking farm fields is this clean and recently remodeled 2-3 bedroom manufactured home with addition offers just shy of 1200 sq' including a family room, living area and kitchen with breakfast nook and dining. One of the bedrooms have been converted with laundry and could be shared as an office or bedroom use. Move in condition with appliances package for buyer convenience. Additional amenities: paved drive to 2.5 car attached garage with brand new steel roof, a 26x28 dirt floor pole building, patio along side an above ground pool (condition unknown). No fuel oil or propane to deal with - natural gas, high speed cable and internet with Spectrum, and home is located on a well maintained, primary paved road. Keys at Close to the New Owner! NO FHA, VA or RD LOANS - check with your lender as to conventional loan requirements for mobile home construction. Cash /Conventional Terms.

  7. 2014-09-16
    historical
  8. 1992-10-30
    historical
  9. 1992-03-09
    listed $24,900
  10. 1992-03-09
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$345 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$983/yr (+$82/mo · 285.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,350
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$345
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,807
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$434
After-tax cash flow
$1,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belding Area School District
NCES district ID
2604530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,310
Composite
23.33/100
National rank
#7915
State rank
#398 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grattan

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,292

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
412.5108
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+502.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-09-16 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1992-10-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1992-03-09 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 1992-03-09 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…