3422 Smileys Cor · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom 2 full bathroom. This unit has been updated with modern finishes down to the beautiful quartz counter tops, appliances, flooring and bathrooms. Come see this one before its gone!
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Modern finishes
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-344 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (27.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Hilliard City (suburban): math 57% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #246 of 656 in OH (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $225k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.54%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,264
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -15.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-61,418
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -42.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-93,820
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43026
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,894 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,183/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$301
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $-344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3429 Eastwoodlands Trl Unit 3429 Hilliard, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1433 | $2,095 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3429 Eastwoodlands Trl Unit 3429 Hilliard, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1433 | $2,095 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3280 Mill Run Dr Hilliard, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1064 | $2,458 | $2.31 | 1d | 13 | 0.08mi |
| 3427 Fishinger Mill Dr Unit 3427 Hilliard, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3616 Hogans Run Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,220 | $2.12 | 2d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 3393 Paxton Ct Hilliard, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1404 | $2,340 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2746 Shrewsbury Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1451 | $2,900 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2636 Nottingham Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,130 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2635 Woodstock Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $301 · $3,612/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $225,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-03-22$235,000 Active 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
2 bedroom 2 full bathroom. This unit has been updated with modern finishes down to the beautiful quartz counter tops, appliances, flooring and bathrooms. Come see this one before its gone!
-
2020-11-10soldstatus $126,000
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2020-10-22soldstatus $126,000 Closed 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
-
2020-10-15historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
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2020-10-08price $132,500 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
-
2020-09-16price $138,500 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
-
2020-08-28price $147,500 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
-
2020-08-05$153,500 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Check out this second-floor end unit condo, located at The Millington subdivision in the convenient Mill Run Area. Easy access to 270 & Riverside Drive destinations. Bright, open, vaulted great room with a gas fireplace and unobstructed windows. Designated dining area with sliding doors to a partially covered balcony overlooking the community green space. Owner's suite, additional bedroom, 2nd full bath, and in-unit utility room. Community amenities include a clubhouse, swimming pool, tennis courts, park, and walking/bike paths.
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2006-05-23soldstatus $119,400
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2006-05-20historical
-
2005-10-18$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,183 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,347 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 5.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,183
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,818
- − Management
- −$1,818
- − HOA
- −$3,612
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$7,977
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,914
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hilliard City
- NCES district ID
- 3904701
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,944
- Composite
- 53.32/100
- National rank
- #1479
- State rank
- #246 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,238
- Household income
- $111,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1356.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -277.31%
- Current HPI
- 268.491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.25%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+96.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $235,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-22 Sold (MLS) $126,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-15 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-08 Price Changed $132,500 CBRMLS
- 2020-09-16 Price Changed $138,500 CBRMLS
- 2020-08-28 Price Changed $147,500 CBRMLS
- 2020-08-05 Listed $153,500 CBRMLS
- 2006-05-23 Sold (MLS) $119,400 CBRMLS
- 2006-05-20 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2005-10-18 Listed $119,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $3,183 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…