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400 E Ferguson St 10-Plex
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$730,000

400 E Ferguson St · Tyler, TX 75702
100 bd · 100.0 ba · 10,000 sqft · MultiFamily · 206 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 10 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Prime redevelopment opportunity with strong cash flow in Downtown Tyler. This 7-building, 10-unit property sits one block from the new Smith County Courthouse and generates $8,600/month in rental income, providing solid returns while you plan a future multifamily or mixed-use project. Surrounded by major public and private investment, this location offers exceptional appreciation potential and rare scale in Tyler’s fastest-improving district.

Key facts

  • Rental income
  • Multifamily income
  • Built 1930

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYRENTAL INCOMEAPPRECIATION POTENTIALMULTIFAMILY INCOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 10 × 10-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $730k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($101k/yr) — positive. Per door: $846/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $730k).
  • Recommended offer: $642k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $17,091/mo this rent would consume 398% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 803% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $204k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($642k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $642,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
20.19%
Cash-on-cash
49.65%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.5%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$408,135
Equity at exit
$108,845
10-year hold
IRR
51.9%
Equity multiple
5.89×
Total profit
$999,625
Equity at exit
$63,117

Cash invested: $204,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75702

Home prices YoY
-5.8%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
35.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$17,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,828
Tax est. 1.5%
$912 /mo · $10,950/yr
Insurance
$304
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,589
Net cashflow
$8,457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,386
Max offer price $730,000
Occupancy floor 46%

10-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (10 units) $17,091

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$182,500
Closing costs
$21,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $730,000 Active 206 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $730,000 Active 205 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $730,000 Active 204 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $730,000 Active 203 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $730,000 Active 202 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $730,000 Active 200 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $730,000 Active 199 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $770,000 Active 197 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $770,000 Active 196 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $770,000 Active 195 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $770,000 Active 194 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $770,000 Active 191 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $770,000 Active 189 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $770,000 Active 188 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $770,000 Active 187 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $770,000 Active 186 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $770,000 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Prime redevelopment opportunity with strong cash flow in Downtown Tyler. This 7-building, 10-unit property sits one block from the new Smith County Courthouse and generates $8,600/month in rental income, providing solid returns while you plan a future multifamily or mixed-use project. Surrounded by major public and private investment, this location offers exceptional appreciation potential and rare scale in Tyler’s fastest-improving district.

  18. 2026-02-10
    status Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Prime redevelopment opportunity with strong cash flow in Downtown Tyler. This 7-building, 10-unit property sits one block from the new Smith County Courthouse and generates $8,600/month in rental income, providing solid returns while you plan a future multifamily or mixed-use project. Surrounded by major public and private investment, this location offers exceptional appreciation potential and rare scale in Tyler’s fastest-improving district.

  19. 2026-01-16
    price $790,000 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Prime redevelopment opportunity with strong cash flow in Downtown Tyler. This 7-building, 10-unit property sits one block from the new Smith County Courthouse and generates $8,600/month in rental income, providing solid returns while you plan a future multifamily or mixed-use project. Surrounded by major public and private investment, this location offers exceptional appreciation potential and rare scale in Tyler’s fastest-improving district.

  20. 2025-11-18
    listed $810,000 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Prime redevelopment opportunity with strong cash flow in Downtown Tyler. This 7-building, 10-unit property sits one block from the new Smith County Courthouse and generates $8,600/month in rental income, providing solid returns while you plan a future multifamily or mixed-use project. Surrounded by major public and private investment, this location offers exceptional appreciation potential and rare scale in Tyler’s fastest-improving district.

  21. 2025-09-08
    price $870,000
  22. 2025-06-23
    price $940,000
  23. 2025-05-08
    price $950,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$205,092
− Mortgage interest
−$40,891
− Property taxes
−$10,950
− Insurance
−$3,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$16,407
− Management
−$16,407
− Depreciation
−$21,236
Taxable income
$95,550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22,932
After-tax cash flow
$78,552/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 10-unit multifamily property requires moderate rehabilitation to improve its condition and increase its value. Repairs and maintenance are needed in the exterior, flooring, interior walls, and landscaping. Upgrades to the exterior, HVAC, and landscaping would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major flooring — Worn-out carpet
  • Major interior walls — Peeling paint
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown yard

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both flooring replacement — Improves comfort and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn-out carpet Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Peeling paint Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown yard Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both flooring replacement — Improves comfort and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tyler, TX
County
Smith County · 180,570 people
City population
127,842
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
27,927
Household income
$51,564
Rent vs Own
47.1% rent · 52.9% own
Severe rent burden
803.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 37% White 12% Two or more races 11% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 47%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 44%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.63%
Current HPI
207.1573
Rent YoY
▲ 2.27%
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $770,000 GTAR
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted GTAR
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $790,000 GTAR
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $810,000 GTAR
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $870,000 GTAR
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $940,000 GTAR
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $950,000 GTAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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