1827 W Camino Cerro · Yuma, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
Key facts
- Close to hospital
- Fresh paint
- Large back yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space (total 1 parking space)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.10 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher; Gas range
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating; Cooling
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Smoke detector(s); Shed on property
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Crane Elementary District (4501) (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #134 of 249 in AZ (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 305 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $102k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 305 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.61%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1867 W Camino Otero | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 910 (-4%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $126 | 82 |
| 1858 W Camino Harina | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 956 (+1%) | 11mo | $144,350 | $151 | 79 |
| 1911 W Camino Cerro | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 911 (-4%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $99 | 77 |
| 2178 S Javelina Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 930 (-2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 2174 S Whitewing Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 882 (-7%) | 4mo | $121,000 | $137 | 68 |
| 2166 S Javelina Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (-7%) | 3mo | $137,500 | $156 | 65 |
| 1870 W Camino Soledad | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,085 (+14%) | 2mo | $146,500 | $135 | 65 |
| 2303 W Dos Pesos Ln | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 842 (-11%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 2079 S Cottontail Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-6%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $67 | 57 |
| 1927 W Camino Soledad | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-12%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 2041 S Coyote Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 846 (-11%) | 9mo | $116,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 2161 S Sidewinder Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-13%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $91 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,165
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-820
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85364
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,171 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $482/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $202 | +0% $166 | +5% $130 | +10% $94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $74 | -5% $120 | +0% $166 | +5% $213 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $230 | -0.5pp $199 | base $166 | +0.5pp $133 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1280 W 24th St Apt 23 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1280 W 24th St Unit 37 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1280 W 24th St Unit 32 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1280 W 24th St Unit 02 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2150 S Avenue A #26 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,550 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2100 S Avenue A Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $1,010 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2150 S Avenue A #60 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,050 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1910 S Avenue A Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $970 | $1.79 | 14d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 2200 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $965 | $1.09 | 14d | 7 | 0.56mi |
| 2350 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 525 | $1,194 | $2.27 | 14d | 15 | 0.57mi |
| 1823 W 18th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,149 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2044 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2575 W 24th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $1,830 | $2.39 | 14d | 8 | 0.62mi |
| 1103 W 20th St Unit 1045 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,000 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1103 W 20th St Unit 1005 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,000 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1850 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,425 | $1.36 | 14d | 7 | 0.74mi |
| 1700 S Crowder Ave #16 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1900 W 30th St Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $804 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2714 S Virginia Dr Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 14d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 2173 S 1st Ave Unit 10 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $850 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2621 S Virginia Dr Unit 206 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $850 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1334 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 888 | $1,295 | $1.46 | 14d | 24 | 1.32mi |
| 1600 W 12th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 14d | 32 | 1.40mi |
| 3900 W 22nd Ln Yuma, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 971 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 14d | 6 | 1.40mi |
| 2183 S Walnut Ave Unit 2 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $975 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2045 S Walnut Ave Yuma, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,480 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $127,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $127,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $127,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $127,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $127,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $127,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $127,000
-
2026-02-06price $134,000
-
2025-08-20$139,000 Active
-
2024-06-14soldstatus $102,500 Closed 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
-
2024-06-14soldstatus $102,500
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
-
2024-06-06historical Active Under Contract 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
-
2024-05-15price $117,000 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
-
2024-03-23$120,000 Active 500-char remark
Show marketing remark (500 chars)
Nice 2 bedroom 1 3/4 bath home with huge AZ room in 55+ park where you own the land. Large back yard with three sheds. All new wood-like vinyl plank flooring throughout the main home. Comes furnished complete with fridge, washer and dryer. AZ room is full length and adds additional square footage to the living area. What you see is what you get! Ready to move right in and priced to sell. Close to the hospital and shopping too! Seller will install new roof on home and shed with full price offer.
-
2012-02-09soldstatus $49,400
-
1993-04-01soldstatus $48,000
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1993-03-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $482 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $838 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$356/yr (+$30/mo · 73.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$482
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable loss
- −$118
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crane Elementary District (4501)
- NCES district ID
- 0402400
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,115
- Composite
- 22.36/100
- National rank
- #8122
- State rank
- #134 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Yuma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yuma, AZ
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 149,809
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,960
- Household income
- $57,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2195.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 29% White 24% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 50% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.00%
- Current HPI
- 220.8058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+164.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $127,000 YAR
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $134,000 YAR
- 2025-08-20 Listed $139,000 YAR
- 2024-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
- 2024-06-14 Sold (MLS) $102,500 YAR
- 2024-06-06 Contingent — YAR
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $117,000 YAR
- 2024-03-23 Listed $120,000 YAR
- 2012-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $49,400 Public Records
- 1993-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $482 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…