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2431 Rosen Ave
B- Composite 66.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2431 Rosen Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 810 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1958 0.28 ac lot $99/sqft · at area comps Est $79k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 217 days

Tags

LARGE FENCED-IN BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,129/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.94%
Cash-on-cash
20.16%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,195
List price
$79,900
Delta
0.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2408 S Groveland Cir 0.23mi 3/1.0 792 (-2%) 13mo $64,000 $81 74
2472 Rosen Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 851 (+5%) 19mo $103,000 $121 72
5756 Satterfield Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 828 (+2%) 3mo $25,000 $30 68
5770 Satterfield Dr 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (+2%) 5mo $75,000 $91 62
5714 Satterfield Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 828 (+2%) 18mo $59,875 $72 55
5771 Satterfield Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 888 (+10%) 5mo $65,000 $73 53
5746 Sterling Pl 0.71mi 3/1.0 864 (+7%) 5mo $20,000 $23 52
2550 Burbank Pl 0.42mi 3/1.0 912 (+13%) 9mo $74,250 $81 52
4417 Ashland Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 864 (+7%) 18mo $120,000 $139 50
5711 Sterling Pl 0.74mi 3/2.0 864 (+7%) 2mo $120,000 $139 49
5779 Satterfield Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 888 (+10%) 14mo $55,000 $62 46
5761 Deborah Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 864 (+7%) 20mo $58,600 $68 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$13,344
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$52,496
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $767/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $653
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $725 $0.69 43d 1 0.11mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,550 $1.40 20d 1 0.16mi
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 13d 1 0.16mi
4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 43d 1 0.25mi
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,150 $1.09 43d 1 0.26mi
2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 792 $850 $1.07 13d 1 0.27mi
4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,400 $1.25 43d 1 0.32mi
5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 43d 1 0.54mi
2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 43d 1 0.55mi
2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,175 $1.11 43d 1 0.60mi
5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 20d 1 0.71mi
5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 20d 1 0.72mi
5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 925 $1,275 $1.38 43d 1 0.74mi
2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 43d 1 0.99mi
4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $850 $0.98 43d 1 1.32mi
5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1040 $975 $0.94 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    historical Active Under Contract 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  2. 2026-05-05
    status Under Contract 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  3. 2026-03-31
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  4. 2026-03-31
    price $79,900 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  5. 2026-03-31
    status Price Change 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  6. 2026-03-31
    price $79,900 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  7. 2026-03-31
    historical 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  8. 2026-03-30
    historical 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  9. 2026-02-19
    status Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  10. 2026-02-19
    status Back On Market 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  11. 2026-02-13
    status Under Contract 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  12. 2026-02-13
    historical Active Under Contract 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  13. 2026-01-14
    price $82,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  14. 2026-01-14
    price $82,000 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  15. 2025-11-03
    price $84,500 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  16. 2025-11-03
    price $84,500 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  17. 2025-09-23
    listed $85,000 Active 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC unit installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  18. 2025-09-22
    listed $85,000 New 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    All-brick 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Macon, GA with new flooring and a large fenced-in backyard. New HVAC system installed in 2022. Currently tenant-occupied and producing rental income, this property has immediate cash flow. Have your agent call for additional pictures and to schedule an appointment.

  19. 2023-08-08
    historical $900
  20. 2023-07-24
    listed $900
  21. 2022-01-24
    soldstatus $55,000
  22. 2022-01-20
    soldstatus $55,000
  23. 2021-09-01
    listed $55,000
  24. 2017-08-29
    soldstatus $19,109
  25. 2017-07-26
    listed $13,200
  26. 1998-10-21
    soldstatus $44,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$767 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$767 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,551
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$767
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,084
− Management
−$1,084
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,417
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$820
After-tax cash flow
$3,691/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.6% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted MGMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $79,900 MGMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $79,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Delisted MGMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted MGMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $82,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $82,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $84,500 MGMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $84,500 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $85,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-08 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-07-24 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-20 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MGMLS
  • 2021-09-01 Listed $55,000 MGMLS
  • 2017-08-29 Sold (MLS) $19,109 GAMLS
  • 2017-07-26 Listed $13,200 GAMLS
  • 1998-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $767 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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