7716 Danube Dr · Bayonet Point, FL 34667

$139,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,029 sqft · Condo public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1981

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.9/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0
• Rent growth +1.9/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Absolutely stunning 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom villa located in the highly sought after subdivision of Beacon Woods. This home has been updated throughout and is amazing. It is being sold fully furnished and wait till you see how this home is decorated. All you need to bring is your toothbrush. This is an over 55 area where at least 1 person must be over 55. The home has a an amazing lay out with a split bedroom plan that is perfect for guests. The updated eat-in kitchen greets you walking through the door and is open to the living and dining room area. The master bedroom has a nice walk-in closet and a remodeled attached bath. The second bedroom and bathroom are located in the same hallway. The bath has been completely updated and has a nice size linen closet. There is a fully enclosed lanai that is air conditioned off the living room that has a closet with the washer and dryer. You can enjoy the peace and quiet on your enclosed lanai as there are no rear neighbors here. All of the windows have been replaced as well as the sliding door. The home has an abundance of storage with multiple walk in closets, attic access and a storage closet. Your condo fees also include Building exterior, Basic cable, Escrow Reserves, Ground maintenance, Insurance on the building, Pest Control, Roof, Trash, Water, Sewer and garbage. The community has a great clubhouse with many activities, heated swimming pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, library and fitness center. Golf course community (public course, extra fees) One Pet IS ALLOWED! Up to 25 lbs.

Key facts

• New flooring
• Abundance of storage
• Split bedroom plan

Tags

• MOVE IN READY
• SPLIT BEDROOM PLAN
• UPDATED WITH FRESH PAINT
• NEW FLOORING
• ABUNDANCE OF STORAGE
• MULTIPLE WALK IN CLOSETS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 1981; One-story property
• Construction: Existing structure completed in 1981
• Exterior features: Located in the Village Woods subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
• Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, schools F.
• Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $100k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,315 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.31%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.51%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -27.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.12×
• Total profit: $-34,435
• Equity at exit: $20,800

10-year hold

• IRR: -55.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.46×
• Total profit: $-56,912
• Equity at exit: $12,061

Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34667

• Rents YoY: -2.3%
• Active inventory: 790
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,662 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$732
• Tax from tax record: −$173 /mo · $2,071/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA est. from 1 same-building comp: −$465
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$349
• Net cashflow: $-114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807

Max offer price $119,339

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-35	-5% $-75	+0% $-114	+5% $-154	+10% $-193
Rent	-10% $-245	-5% $-180	+0% $-114	+5% $-48	+10% $17
Rate	-1.0pp $-44	-0.5pp $-79	base $-114	+0.5pp $-150	+1.0pp $-187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,875
• Closing costs: $4,185
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7602 Danube Dr Unit 7602 Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1125	$1,600	$1.42	25d	1	0.08mi
7616 Danube Dr Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1125	$1,350	$1.20	25d	1	0.08mi
12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1103	$1,495	$1.36	25d	1	0.22mi
12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1103	$1,495	$1.36	18d	1	0.22mi
12027 Hoosier Ct #203 Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1103	$1,550	$1.41	25d	1	0.26mi
7433 Greystone Dr #7433 Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1029	$1,300	$1.26	18d	1	0.42mi
12702 Social Dr Hudson, FL	2.0	1.0	1032	$1,500	$1.45	5d	1	0.55mi
12200 Hudson Ridge Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	1107	$1,468	$1.33	3d	10	0.56mi
7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1272	$1,800	$1.42	5d	1	0.57mi
7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1272	$1,800	$1.42	22d	1	0.57mi
12809 College Hill Dr Hudson, FL	3.0	2.0	1114	$1,780	$1.60	5d	1	0.60mi
8304 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,650	$1.65	25d	1	0.60mi
8312 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1152	$1,600	$1.39	25d	1	0.65mi
11630 Paige Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	1.0	1152	$1,680	$1.46	13d	1	0.69mi
7539 Gulf Highlands Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	1.5	936	$1,550	$1.66	5d	1	0.70mi
11610 Meadow Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1128	$1,570	$1.39	13d	1	0.71mi
7300 Country Club Dr Hudson, FL	2.0	1.0	926	$1,400	$1.51	3d	1	0.71mi
11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	1.0	984	$1,540	$1.57	25d	1	0.71mi
11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	1.0	984	$1,540	$1.57	12d	1	0.71mi
7715 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1080	$1,495	$1.38	4d	1	0.75mi
7608 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1310	$2,400	$1.83	25d	1	0.78mi
7804 Topay Ln Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1125	$1,811	$1.61	5d	1	0.81mi
7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1446	$2,200	$1.52	25d	1	0.87mi
7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1446	$1,695	$1.17	21d	1	0.87mi
8305 Sandwedge Cir Unit A Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1144	$1,450	$1.27	22d	1	0.90mi
7520 Hawthorn Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1303	$1,900	$1.46	25d	1	0.96mi
7520 Hawthorn Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1303	$1,800	$1.38	24d	1	0.96mi
7531 Greybirch Ter Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1400	$2,000	$1.43	25d	1	0.97mi
11241 Yewtree Ave Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1306	$1,950	$1.49	24d	1	1.02mi
11635 Salmon Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	1.5	816	$1,500	$1.84	25d	1	1.04mi
8161 Braddock Cir #1 Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,595	$1.59	18d	1	1.05mi
12221 Holbrook Dr Bayonet Point, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	761	$1,685	$2.21	2d	59	1.14mi
11138 Yellowwood Ln Unit NA Port Richey, FL	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,800	$1.80	25d	1	1.15mi
7540 Venice Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1394	$1,775	$1.27	5d	1	1.15mi
12535 3rd Isle Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1389	$2,600	$1.87	25d	1	1.18mi
7705 Ilex Dr Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1349	$2,000	$1.48	25d	1	1.20mi
13102 Pembrook Ct Hudson, FL	2.0	2.0	1221	$1,575	$1.29	25d	1	1.24mi
7213 Seward Dr Port Richey, FL	2.0	1.0	700	$1,500	$2.14	25d	1	1.25mi
11103 Harding Dr Unit 2 Port Richey, FL	2.0	1.0	760	$1,450	$1.91	20d	1	1.28mi
11430 Rohrman Rd Port Richey, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,000	$1.43	5d	1	1.38mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: watersewertrashcablepoolgym
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $139,500 Active 35 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $139,500 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $139,500 Active 33 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $139,500 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $139,500 Active 30 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $139,500 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $139,500 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $139,500 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $139,500 Active 21 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,500 Active 20 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,500 Active 19 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,500 Active 18 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,500 Active 17 DOM
14. 2026-05-14
    listed $139,500 Active
15. 2020-06-16
    soldstatus $99,900
16. 2020-06-08
    soldstatus $99,900 Sold 1563-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1563 chars)

    Absolutely stunning 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom villa located in the highly sought after subdivision of Beacon Woods. This home has been updated throughout and is amazing. It is being sold fully furnished and wait till you see how this home is decorated. All you need to bring is your toothbrush. This is an over 55 area where at least 1 person must be over 55. The home has a an amazing lay out with a split bedroom plan that is perfect for guests. The updated eat-in kitchen greets you walking through the door and is open to the living and dining room area. The master bedroom has a nice walk-in closet and a remodeled attached bath. The second bedroom and bathroom are located in the same hallway. The bath has been completely updated and has a nice size linen closet. There is a fully enclosed lanai that is air conditioned off the living room that has a closet with the washer and dryer. You can enjoy the peace and quiet on your enclosed lanai as there are no rear neighbors here. All of the windows have been replaced as well as the sliding door. The home has an abundance of storage with multiple walk in closets, attic access and a storage closet. Your condo fees also include Building exterior, Basic cable, Escrow Reserves, Ground maintenance, Insurance on the building, Pest Control, Roof, Trash, Water, Sewer and garbage. The community has a great clubhouse with many activities, heated swimming pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, library and fitness center. Golf course community (public course, extra fees) One Pet IS ALLOWED! Up to 25 lbs.

17. 2020-05-07
    status Pending 1563-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1563 chars)

    Absolutely stunning 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom villa located in the highly sought after subdivision of Beacon Woods. This home has been updated throughout and is amazing. It is being sold fully furnished and wait till you see how this home is decorated. All you need to bring is your toothbrush. This is an over 55 area where at least 1 person must be over 55. The home has a an amazing lay out with a split bedroom plan that is perfect for guests. The updated eat-in kitchen greets you walking through the door and is open to the living and dining room area. The master bedroom has a nice walk-in closet and a remodeled attached bath. The second bedroom and bathroom are located in the same hallway. The bath has been completely updated and has a nice size linen closet. There is a fully enclosed lanai that is air conditioned off the living room that has a closet with the washer and dryer. You can enjoy the peace and quiet on your enclosed lanai as there are no rear neighbors here. All of the windows have been replaced as well as the sliding door. The home has an abundance of storage with multiple walk in closets, attic access and a storage closet. Your condo fees also include Building exterior, Basic cable, Escrow Reserves, Ground maintenance, Insurance on the building, Pest Control, Roof, Trash, Water, Sewer and garbage. The community has a great clubhouse with many activities, heated swimming pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, library and fitness center. Golf course community (public course, extra fees) One Pet IS ALLOWED! Up to 25 lbs.

18. 2020-05-02
    listed $99,900 Active 1563-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1563 chars)

    Absolutely stunning 2 bedrooms, 2 bathroom villa located in the highly sought after subdivision of Beacon Woods. This home has been updated throughout and is amazing. It is being sold fully furnished and wait till you see how this home is decorated. All you need to bring is your toothbrush. This is an over 55 area where at least 1 person must be over 55. The home has a an amazing lay out with a split bedroom plan that is perfect for guests. The updated eat-in kitchen greets you walking through the door and is open to the living and dining room area. The master bedroom has a nice walk-in closet and a remodeled attached bath. The second bedroom and bathroom are located in the same hallway. The bath has been completely updated and has a nice size linen closet. There is a fully enclosed lanai that is air conditioned off the living room that has a closet with the washer and dryer. You can enjoy the peace and quiet on your enclosed lanai as there are no rear neighbors here. All of the windows have been replaced as well as the sliding door. The home has an abundance of storage with multiple walk in closets, attic access and a storage closet. Your condo fees also include Building exterior, Basic cable, Escrow Reserves, Ground maintenance, Insurance on the building, Pest Control, Roof, Trash, Water, Sewer and garbage. The community has a great clubhouse with many activities, heated swimming pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, library and fitness center. Golf course community (public course, extra fees) One Pet IS ALLOWED! Up to 25 lbs.

19. 1982-06-01
    soldstatus $41,300
20. 1981-04-01
    soldstatus $41,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,071 · $173/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,071 · $173/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,946
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,814
• − Property taxes: −$2,071
• − Insurance: −$698
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,596
• − Management: −$1,596
• − HOA: −$5,580
• − Depreciation: −$4,058
• Taxable loss: −$3,466
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$832
• After-tax cash flow: $-538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pasco
• NCES district ID: 1201530
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $45,039
• Composite: 43.14/100
• National rank: #3074
• State rank: #32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bayonet Point

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #485
• US rank: #8934

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bayonet Point, FL
• County: Pasco County · 524,098 people
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 30,689
• Household income: $51,280
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 946.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 570,045 people
• By 2030: 605,844 · +6.3%
• By 2040: 674,806 · +18.4%
• By 2050: 736,022 · +29.1%
• By 2075: 862,900 · +51.4%
• By 2100: 906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -183.96%
• Current HPI: 307.5552
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.26%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+233.7% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Listed $139,500 FSBO.com
• 2020-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
• 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-05-02 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,300 Public Records
• 1981-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,071 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.