1811 SW Palm City Rd Unit A601 · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom full rehab unit in wonderful location. 2 year lease restriction No lease for the first 2 years. HOA covers basic cable, water & trash. Seller will pay off the current $25K assessment in full at closing. Assessment included new roofs, new carports and paving, pool resurfacing, exterior painting & new railings Highest and Best by April 23rd
Key facts
- $553 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.1% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $115k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.24%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,119
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -48.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,034
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-900
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34994
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,316 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,568/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$553
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $361 | +0% $328 | +5% $296 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $237 | +0% $328 | +5% $420 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $386 | -0.5pp $358 | base $328 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1871 SW Palm City Rd Unit G401 Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1289 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1900 S Kanner Hwy Unit 2-203 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1868 SW Palm City Rd Apt 202 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $2,900 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 85 SE Hancock St Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1278 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 15d | 2 | 0.29mi |
| 1950 SW Palm City Rd Unit 4-4205 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,400 | $2.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1950 SW Palm City Rd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $3,150 | $3.05 | 24d | 3 | 0.34mi |
| 950 S Kanner Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,000 | $2.35 | 15d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 950 S Kanner Hwy Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,888 | $1.85 | 22d | 3 | 0.49mi |
| 950 S Kanner Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1062 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 24d | 5 | 0.49mi |
| 44 SE Sedona Cir #201 Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 47 SE Sedona Cir #203 Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 345 SE Angler Dr Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $2,650 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 400 SE Central Pkwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,640 | $2.87 | 15d | 16 | 0.60mi |
| 2600 S Kanner Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 890 | $1,950 | $2.19 | 15d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 701 SW Bryant Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1295 | $3,300 | $2.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 801 SE Central Ave Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $2,300 | $2.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 801 SE Central Pkwy #7 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $2,150 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 524 SW St Lucie Cres Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,925 | $3.16 | 15d | 5 | 0.91mi |
| 2819 SW Cornell Ave Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $2,150 | $2.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 917 SE Nassau Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $3,800 | $4.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 917 SE Nassau Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,900 | $2.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 310 SE Denver Ave Unit 2 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,900 | $2.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1634 SW Crossing Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 201 SW Joan Jefferson Way Stuart, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,545 | $1.82 | 15d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 47 SW Osceola St #206 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $4,000 | $3.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 47 SW Osceola St Unit UN206 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $3,900 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 41 SW Seminole St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1353 | $13,167 | $9.73 | 24d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 2104 SE Edler Dr Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2118 SE Edler Dr Unit B Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,995 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2124 SE Edler Dr Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1485 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 107 B-2 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,650 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1215 SE Glenwood Dr Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,859 | $1.71 | 15d | 10 | 1.43mi |
| 1605 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F2 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1544 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F-104 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,500 | $2.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 544 SW 35th St Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3405 SW Feroe Ave Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,800 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $553 · $6,636/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashcablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-22price $115,000 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
2 bedroom full rehab unit in wonderful location. 2 year lease restriction No lease for the first 2 years. HOA covers basic cable, water & trash. Seller will pay off the current $25K assessment in full at closing. Assessment included new roofs, new carports and paving, pool resurfacing, exterior painting & new railings Highest and Best by April 23rd
-
2026-04-08$120,000 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
2 bedroom full rehab unit in wonderful location. 2 year lease restriction No lease for the first 2 years. HOA covers basic cable, water & trash. Seller will pay off the current $25K assessment in full at closing. Assessment included new roofs, new carports and paving, pool resurfacing, exterior painting & new railings Highest and Best by April 23rd
-
2001-11-01soldstatus $73,800
-
1999-12-28soldstatus $65,085
-
1995-09-08soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,568 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,568 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,568
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,223
- − Management
- −$2,223
- − HOA
- −$6,636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$667
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stuart, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,737
- Household income
- $62,533
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1408.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.08%
- Current HPI
- 349.7061
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.69%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+98.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $120,000 Beaches MLS
- 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,800 Public Records
- 1999-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,085 Public Records
- 1995-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,568 · +390.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…