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709 Elm St
B+ Composite 76.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$45,000

709 Elm St · Slater, MO 65349
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,729 sqft · Other · 43 Days on market
Built 1915 10,360 sqft lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 5-bedroom 1.5 bath two story home full of potential. Featuring a classic front porch and situated on a shaded lot, this property is perfect for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a fixer upper. Conveniently located near the school and a park, it offers both space and location. Being sold as-is, bring your vision and make it your own.

Key facts

  • Shaded lot
  • Front porch
  • Near school

Tags

FRONT PORCHSHADED LOTNEAR SCHOOLNEAR PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes listed

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Above-grade finished living area; Below-grade finished living area
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 148; Zoned residential

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Heating included
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Has heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#241 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Slater (rural): math 15% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #492 of 535 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • Saline County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.58%
Cap rate
22.55%
Cash-on-cash
58.05%
DSCR
3.58
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.8%
Equity multiple
5.24×
Total profit
$53,387
Equity at exit
$29,944
10-year hold
IRR
63.3%
Equity multiple
11.02×
Total profit
$126,309
Equity at exit
$55,791

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65349

Home prices YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $625/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $388
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $52,000 Active 355-char remark
  16. 2019-12-17
    soldstatus
  17. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$625 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$625 · $52/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,920
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$625
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$7,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,683
After-tax cash flow
$5,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Slater
NCES district ID
2928360
Math proficiency
15% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,330
Composite
23.75/100
National rank
#13230
State rank
#492 of 535 in MO

Livability — Slater

Score
66/100
State rank
#241
US rank
#11842

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Slater, MO
Population (ZIP)
2,562

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,716 people
By 2030
22,343 · -1.6%
By 2040
21,596 · -4.9%
By 2050
21,171 · -6.8%
By 2075
20,680 · -9.0%
By 2100
20,147 · -11.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 29.2% · R 69.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-37.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.58%
Current HPI
130.9992
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $45,000 CMBR
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $52,000 CMBR
  • 2019-12-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $625 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…