64071 M 40 · Lawton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
Key facts
- 1 acre corner lot
- 3 outbuildings
- Composition roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Traditional-style single family residence; 1,708 living area
- Construction: Built in 1920; Wood siding; Composition roof; Full foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Well water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#293 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lawton Community School District (rural): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #263 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.27%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,468
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -56.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65281 M 40 | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,311 (-1%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 64247 Windrose Way | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+8%) | 9mo | $389,900 | $275 | 66 |
| 30300 64th Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,196 (-9%) | 6mo | $237,500 | $199 | 57 |
| 63862 32nd St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,412 (+7%) | 7mo | $351,000 | $249 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $32,873
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $99,219
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49065
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $859
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2026-05-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2026-04-30$135,000 Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2026-04-30$135,000 Active 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2026-04-30$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.
-
2008-07-02soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,178
- − Management
- −$2,178
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $8,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,082
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621240
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,315
- Composite
- 31.04/100
- National rank
- #6084
- State rank
- #263 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #7328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,283
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,479 people
- By 2030
- 68,693 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,093 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 55,232 · -22.7%
- By 2075
- 40,786 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 27,785 · -61.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.97%
- Current HPI
- 165.0761
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+60.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…