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64071 M 40
B- Composite 69.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

64071 M 40 · Lawton, MI 49065
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1920 1.08 ac lot $102/sqft · 44% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

Key facts

  • 1 acre corner lot
  • 3 outbuildings
  • Composition roof

Tags

1 ACRE CORNER LOT3 OUTBUILDINGSCONVENIENT M-40 LOCATIONDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEWOOD SIDINGCOMPOSITION ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas available
  • Home design: Traditional-style single family residence; 1,708 living area
  • Construction: Built in 1920; Wood siding; Composition roof; Full foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Well water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#293 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lawton Community School District (rural): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #263 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.93%
Cash-on-cash
27.27%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$313,468
List price
$135,000
Delta
-56.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
65281 M 40 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,311 (-1%) 12mo $205,000 $156 72
64247 Windrose Way 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,420 (+8%) 9mo $389,900 $275 66
30300 64th Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,196 (-9%) 6mo $237,500 $199 57
63862 32nd St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,412 (+7%) 7mo $351,000 $249 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$32,873
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$99,219
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49065

Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,268 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 740-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  3. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $135,000 Active 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  5. 2026-04-30
    listed $135,000 Active 740-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  6. 2026-04-30
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    1-acre corner lot 3 outbuildings Convenient M-40 location4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,708 sq ft above grade with a full basement on a 1.08-acre corner parcel in Lawton. Main level includes 2 bedrooms, full bath, and living space, with 2 additional bedrooms and full bath on the upper level. Property includes three outbuildings providing space for storage, equipment, or workshop use, along with a detached 2-car garage. Exterior features wood siding, composition roof, and paved road frontage on M-40. Well and septic with natural gas forced-air heat, central air, and high-speed internet available at the street. Located in the Lawton School District with convenient access to Paw Paw, I-94, and surrounding Southwest Michigan areas.

  7. 2008-07-02
    soldstatus $76,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,221
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,178
− Management
−$2,178
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$8,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,082
After-tax cash flow
$8,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton Community School District
NCES district ID
2621240
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$49,315
Composite
31.04/100
National rank
#6084
State rank
#263 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lawton

Score
70/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#7328

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,283

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,479 people
By 2030
68,693 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,093 · -13.1%
By 2050
55,232 · -22.7%
By 2075
40,786 · -42.9%
By 2100
27,785 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.97%
Current HPI
165.0761
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $122,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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