1536 S State St #147 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turn key, move-in ready, beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home, with ceiling fans throughout big kitchen island separate dining room , New paint in home, New luxury laminate flooring, all kitchen, bathroom counter countertops, and showers and soaking bath have been re-done , home is on a big lot with carport parking and driveway parking with a bonus shed, this all ages, family park is gated and has community pool and spa park and barbecues for all the community to use!! Book your appointment today to see this home!!!
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 2008
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features: 0-1 unit/acre
- HOA & community: Land lease of $1,049 per month (current); Manager approval required for residency; Pet policy: contact manager
Exterior
- Parking: 1 carport space; 1 total parking space; Located in Saddleback Mobile Home Estates
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Mobile home (26' x 56') remains on site; Double-wide body type; Single-story; Entry on main level
- Construction: Model 5628-94-3 (mobile home); Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Community pool; One shed on the property; Street lighting and park in the community; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range and gas oven; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the ground level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; All bedrooms on ground level; Laundry room inside (individual room); Kitchen island; Living room; Entry on main level
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (individual room)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $176k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $176k).
- Recommended offer: $173k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,140/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.55%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,352
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1536 S state St #147 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $117 | 86 |
| 1536 S State St #28 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 12mo | $198,900 | $148 | 77 |
| 1536 S State St #180 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (+6%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $130 | 77 |
| 601 Bermuda | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $208 | 75 |
| 1536 S State St #185 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $104 | 74 |
| 1536 S State St #219 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $108 | 69 |
| 725 W Thornton Ave #109 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-1%) | 2mo | $23,900 | $17 | 65 |
| 1455 S State St #200 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-1%) | 13mo | $72,500 | $50 | 62 |
| 725 W Thornton Ave #35 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-1%) | 6mo | $77,500 | $54 | 62 |
| 521 Bermuda Dr | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (+15%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $170 | 47 |
| 1456 Saint Croix Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+15%) | 14mo | $299,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 725 W Thornton Ave #14 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 11mo | $68,000 | $54 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-915
- Equity at exit
- $26,241
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $27,677
- Equity at exit
- $15,216
Cash invested: $49,277 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$923
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$220 /mo · $2,640/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,998
- Closing costs
- $5,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 E Thornton Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,912 | $1.97 | 2d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 640 Vista del Monte Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,650 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $2,400 | $2.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 678 Monterey Pl Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1047 | $1,995 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 795 Cameo Ave Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,900 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,320 | $2.61 | 2d | 8 | 0.81mi |
| 1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,825 | $1.87 | 24d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 860 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 700 Johnston Ave Unit 708 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 853 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 733 S San Jacinto St Unit B Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 26450 San Jacinto St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,295 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,599 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1287 Olive Tree Ln Unit C Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 26416 S San Jacinto St Unit 26416 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,675 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,725 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,990 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $175,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-21historical $175,999
-
2025-07-09soldstatus $175,000 Closed Sale 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Turn key, move-in ready, beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home, with ceiling fans throughout big kitchen island separate dining room , New paint in home, New luxury laminate flooring, all kitchen, bathroom counter countertops, and showers and soaking bath have been re-done , home is on a big lot with carport parking and driveway parking with a bonus shed, this all ages, family park is gated and has community pool and spa park and barbecues for all the community to use!! Book your appointment today to see this home!!!
-
2025-06-03status Pending Sale 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Turn key, move-in ready, beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home, with ceiling fans throughout big kitchen island separate dining room , New paint in home, New luxury laminate flooring, all kitchen, bathroom counter countertops, and showers and soaking bath have been re-done , home is on a big lot with carport parking and driveway parking with a bonus shed, this all ages, family park is gated and has community pool and spa park and barbecues for all the community to use!! Book your appointment today to see this home!!!
-
2025-05-08$179,900 Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Turn key, move-in ready, beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home, with ceiling fans throughout big kitchen island separate dining room , New paint in home, New luxury laminate flooring, all kitchen, bathroom counter countertops, and showers and soaking bath have been re-done , home is on a big lot with carport parking and driveway parking with a bonus shed, this all ages, family park is gated and has community pool and spa park and barbecues for all the community to use!! Book your appointment today to see this home!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,679
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,858
- − Property taxes
- −$2,640
- − Insurance
- −$880
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$5,120
- Taxable income
- $3,073
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$737
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,954/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, move-in-ready manufactured home in Saddleback Estates offers a comfortable and inviting living space with modern updates and a family-friendly community setting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both paint — refreshes the interior and exterior
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both paint — refreshes the interior and exterior ↑
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-2.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $175,999 CRMLS
- 2025-07-09 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-03 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $179,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…