🌊 Lakefront
9000 US Hwy 192 #407 · Four Corners, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Neat & clean. Heat & air to Florida room. Roofover. Furnished & ready for occupancy. A lakefront, golf course, resort type community with many amenities and activities for all. Being sold "as is" with right to inspect.
Key facts
- Guard gated entrance
- Metal roof
- Vinyl room addition
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info: Total annual fees about $3,072
- HOA & community: Association required (Sabrina Stone); Monthly HOA approximately $256; Quarterly association fee applies; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, playground, dog park, storage, recreation facilities, security, laundry, golf course access, community mailbox, street lights, private road, and management; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed; Association fee includes guard (24-hour), cable TV, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, grounds maintenance, management, sewer, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Well water; Private sewer; Cable connected; High-speed internet available; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One level; Faces north
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a VALC single wide
- Exterior features: Patio; Rain gutters; Private lake access (Lake Davenport); Boat ramp (private); Fishing pier; Skiing allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen-family room combo; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 716 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $235 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $-214 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $65k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.36%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $16,742
- Equity at exit
- $17,781
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $37,385
- Equity at exit
- $20,542
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34714
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 716
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$256
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9000 US Highway 192 #115 Clermont, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 364 | $950 | $2.61 | 10d | 1 | 0.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $256 · $3,072/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-03-13$64,900 Active
-
2011-04-08soldstatus $33,000
-
2011-03-31soldstatus $33,000 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Neat & clean. Heat & air to Florida room. Roofover. Furnished & ready for occupancy. A lakefront, golf course, resort type community with many amenities and activities for all. Being sold "as is" with right to inspect.
-
2010-12-02$38,500 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Neat & clean. Heat & air to Florida room. Roofover. Furnished & ready for occupancy. A lakefront, golf course, resort type community with many amenities and activities for all. Being sold "as is" with right to inspect.
-
2000-05-04soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,156
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − HOA
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $3,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$915
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Four Corners
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #453
- US rank
- #8218
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Four Corners, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 27,422
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,200
- Household income
- $75,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 953.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.33%
- Current HPI
- 256.1331
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.46%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+120.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $64,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2011-03-31 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-02 Listed $38,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,156 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…