80 Walela Ln · Red Feather Lakes, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the heart of Red Feather Lakes, this exceptional dry cabin offers both charm and convenience. Impeccably maintained and undeniably cute, the cabin features a cozy loft bedroom, a spacious open main floor with a compact semi-kitchen, a dining area, and a comfortable living room that's perfect for relaxing after a day exploring the outdoors. A deluxe privy caters to your needs, the cabin is equipped with power and an RV plug-in, making it easy for guests to enjoy. The front yard includes built-in planters, adding a touch of beauty and welcoming appeal. The cabin overlooks a large privately owned parcel, providing wonderful views and a sense of privacy, yet remains easily accessible
Key facts
- Cozy loft bedroom
- Compact semi-kitchen
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees or transfer fees reported; No association reserves
Exterior
- Parking: No garage or designated parking listed
- Utilities: Electricity available; Satellite available; No water source or sewer listed; No water rights and no water meter installed
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Above-grade finished area reported
- Exterior features: Deck; Partial fencing with a dog run/kennel; Corner lot with wooded areas, evergreen trees and native grass; Level lot, unincorporated area, lake access; Dirt road frontage on a private road; Minimal flood risk (C rating)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (all bedrooms conform)
- Heating & cooling: No heating system listed
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Open floor plan; Window coverings; Fire alarm
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.1% in Red Feather Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#344 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Poudre High School (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #131 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,663 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $268 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $199k implies a 1709% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.51%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $28,932
- Equity at exit
- $52,305
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $96,847
- Equity at exit
- $58,652
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80545
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$199,000 Active
-
1992-11-01soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,161
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,249
- − Management
- −$2,249
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $4,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,085
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Red Feather Lakes
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #23247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Red Feather Lakes, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 913
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 280.4591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+1709.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $199,000 IRES
- 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,161 · +145.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…