80 Walela Ln · Red Feather Lakes, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the heart of Red Feather Lakes, this exceptional dry cabin offers both charm and convenience. Impeccably maintained and undeniably cute, the cabin features a cozy loft bedroom, a spacious open main floor with a compact semi-kitchen, a dining area, and a comfortable living room that's perfect for relaxing after a day exploring the outdoors. A deluxe privy caters to your needs, the cabin is equipped with power and an RV plug-in, making it easy for guests to enjoy. The front yard includes built-in planters, adding a touch of beauty, welcoming appeal, and a fenced yard.
Key facts
- Cozy loft bedroom
- Compact semi-kitchen
- Dining area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $691 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.0% in Red Feather Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#344 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Poudre High School (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #131 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,663 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $236 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-974 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $175k implies a 1491% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.92%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,539
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -22.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Robin Path | 0.10mi | 2/— (+1) | 480 (-5%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $313 | 81 |
| 167 Nofing Way | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 480 (-5%) | 28mo | $220,000 | $458 | 61 |
| 73 Onawa Way | 1.49mi | 2/— (+1) | 500 (-1%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $200 | 44 |
| 35 Stellar Jay Cir | 1.12mi | 1/— | 391 (-22%) | 4mo | $141,500 | $362 | 37 |
| 265 Onawa Rd | 1.46mi | 1/— | 468 (-7%) | 22mo | $167,000 | $357 | 34 |
| 123 Nokomis Rd | 1.43mi | 1/1.0 | 572 (+14%) | 13mo | $268,000 | $469 | 32 |
| 108 Buffalo Run Ln | 1.50mi | 1/1.0 | 435 (-14%) | 16mo | $219,000 | $503 | 29 |
| 26 Yellow Wolf Way | 1.20mi | 1/— | 600 (+19%) | 24mo | $190,000 | $317 | 20 |
| 41 Totem Pole Ln | 1.36mi | 2/— (+1) | 600 (+19%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $167 | 18 |
| 114 Minnehaha St | 1.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 572 (+14%) | 36mo | $154,800 | $271 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $34,315
- Equity at exit
- $45,997
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $104,347
- Equity at exit
- $51,578
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 80545
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 179
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $691
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $790 | -5% $740 | +0% $691 | +5% $641 | +10% $592 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $513 | -5% $602 | +0% $691 | +5% $780 | +10% $869 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $779 | -0.5pp $735 | base $691 | +0.5pp $646 | +1.0pp $599 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Zoning: OPossible use: Single Family
- Financial info
- $1,161 annual tax (2025)
- HOA & community
- No association fees or transfer fees listedNo association reserves
Exterior
- Parking
- No garageNo designated parking features listed
- Utilities
- Electricity availableSatellite availableNo water source listedNo sewer listedNo water rights; no water meter installed
- Home design
- Single-family residenceResidential propertyOne and one-half storiesNot new, previously owned
- Construction
- Frame constructionComposition roofAbove-grade finished area noted (504)Main floor area noted (404)
- Exterior features
- DeckPartial fencing with a dog run/kennelCorner lotWooded lot with evergreen trees and native grassLevel terrainUnincorporated locationLake accessDirt road frontage on a private roadMinimal flood or C flood plain rating
Interior
- Kitchen
- Refrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom (all bedrooms conforming)
- Heating & cooling
- No heating information listed
- Interior features
- Cathedral ceilingsOpen floor planWindow coveringsFire alarm installed
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $175,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $175,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $175,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $175,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $175,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $175,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $175,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $175,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $175,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $175,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $175,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $175,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $175,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $175,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $175,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $175,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $175,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $175,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $175,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $175,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $175,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $175,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $175,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $175,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $175,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $175,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $175,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $175,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $175,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $175,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $175,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $175,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $175,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $175,000 Active 71 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,161
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,161
- − Management
- −$2,161
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $5,761
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,383
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This charming cabin in Red Feather Lakes is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint and some deck cleaning would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Clean the deck — Maintains the deck's appearance and adds to the home's overall appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Red Feather Lakes
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #23247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Red Feather Lakes, CO
- County
- Larimer · 415,361 people
- Metro
- Fort Collins-Loveland, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 913
- Household income
- $91,500
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 280.4591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+1709.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $199,000 IRES
- 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,161 · +145.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…