12604 Stoepel St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1932
- Listed 46 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,688/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.84%
- DSCR
- 2.99
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $43,366
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.02×
- Total profit
- $126,367
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $785
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $1,700 | $0.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending 1113-char remark
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.
-
2026-04-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.
-
2026-03-11$75,000 Active 1113-char remark
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.
-
2026-03-11$75,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1113 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.
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2021-09-02historical
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2021-09-01historical
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2021-07-31price $70,000
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2021-07-30price $70,000
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2021-04-27$80,000 Active
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2021-04-27$80,000 Active
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2020-08-02soldstatus $60,000 Sold
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2020-08-02soldstatus $60,000 Closed
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2020-07-27status Pending
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2020-07-27status Pending
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2020-03-26price $60,000
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2020-03-26price $60,000
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2020-03-26status Active
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2020-03-26status Active
-
2020-02-26historical
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2020-02-26historical
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2019-07-12$70,000 Active
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2019-07-12$70,000 Active
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1998-11-23soldstatus $43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,491 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,491 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,491
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $8,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,104
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+72.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-09-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-31 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-30 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-04-27 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-04-27 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-08-02 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-02 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-03-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-02-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-02-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-12 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-12 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 1998-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,491 · -61.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…