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12604 Stoepel St
B- Composite 68.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

12604 Stoepel St · Detroit, MI 48238
6 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,190 sqft · Townhouse public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1932 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1932
  • Listed 46 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,688/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
18.85%
Cash-on-cash
44.84%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$43,366
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
7.02×
Total profit
$126,367
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,688 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,491/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$785

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2100 $1,700 $0.81 4d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 1113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.

  3. 2026-03-11
    listed $75,000 Active 1113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.

  4. 2026-03-11
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1113 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in a central Detroit location. This two-unit property is just minutes from downtown and conveniently located near three major freeways, public transportation, the library, grocery stores, stadiums, and many other local attractions. Each unit features three bedrooms, one full bathroom, a living room, dining room, and kitchen, offering spacious layouts with great potential. The property also includes a full common basement and a large third floor that offers the opportunity for additional living space or future expansion. Many improvements have already been started, including a newer roof, new Pella windows, updated electrical with separate meters and boxes, newer ductwork, and PEX plumbing. Some recessed lighting has also been installed, and the property features a beautiful oversized staircase in the main entry. Much of the demo work has already been completed, making this a great opportunity for an investor or owner-occupant to finish the project and add their own vision. Buyer/Buyer's agent to verify all information. Contact your agent today for showing details.

  5. 2021-09-02
    historical
  6. 2021-09-01
    historical
  7. 2021-07-31
    price $70,000
  8. 2021-07-30
    price $70,000
  9. 2021-04-27
    listed $80,000 Active
  10. 2021-04-27
    listed $80,000 Active
  11. 2020-08-02
    soldstatus $60,000 Sold
  12. 2020-08-02
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed
  13. 2020-07-27
    status Pending
  14. 2020-07-27
    status Pending
  15. 2020-03-26
    price $60,000
  16. 2020-03-26
    price $60,000
  17. 2020-03-26
    status Active
  18. 2020-03-26
    status Active
  19. 2020-02-26
    historical
  20. 2020-02-26
    historical
  21. 2019-07-12
    listed $70,000 Active
  22. 2019-07-12
    listed $70,000 Active
  23. 1998-11-23
    soldstatus $43,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,491 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,255
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,491
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,620
− Management
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$8,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,104
After-tax cash flow
$7,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-31 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-30 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-27 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-27 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-02 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-02 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-26 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-26 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-12 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-07-12 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 1998-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,491 · -61.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…