9839 Lawnview Dr · Moline Acres, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly renovated home on a great street! New flooring throughout. Bathroom has been completely updated. New counter tops as well as new back splash. This spacious 3 bedroom 1 bath home has a great floor plan for entertaining and family time! The basement has two framed out rooms that could easily be finished out to have two additional sleeping area for guests or teenagers. There was a new roof put on as well as new gutters and soffits. The exterior siding has also been painted as well as a new garage door installed. Make your appointment today as this property won't last long!
Key facts
- Added storage
- Fenced yard
- 6,324 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway parking; Additional parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas connected; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Level lot; Back yard chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Free‑standing electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Basement: full, partially finished with 8+ ft poured walls; Cooktop, Free‑standing electric range, Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 10.9% in Moline Acres — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Meadows Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 333 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $119k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.06%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,386
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9850 Monarch Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (0%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $99 | 92 |
| 9742 Wendell Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (0%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $69 | 82 |
| 9984 Duke Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-5%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $56 | 78 |
| 10127 Monarch Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,015 (+0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $153 | 77 |
| 9828 Omega Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-3%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $101 | 76 |
| 2442 Gardner Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,054 (+4%) | 2mo | $59,900 | $57 | 70 |
| 2225 Kerwin Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (+12%) | 2mo | $135,900 | $120 | 67 |
| 2014 Kappel Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 989 (-2%) | 2mo | $19,000 | $19 | 61 |
| 10231 Monarch Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (+6%) | 1mo | $189,999 | $177 | 59 |
| 10117 Royal Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-15%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $41 | 54 |
| 10139 Edgefield Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+12%) | 0mo | $119,900 | $105 | 52 |
| 9858 Green Valley Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 936 (-8%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $80 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $36,290
- Equity at exit
- $58,880
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $107,399
- Equity at exit
- $95,160
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,634/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 7d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,325 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1030 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,728 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,075 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,380 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,090 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,040 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,275 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 474-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,634
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $830
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Moline Acres
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #18899
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moline Acres, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+58.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $119,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-25 Rental Removed $1,500 RENTEC
- 2024-01-20 Listed for Rent $1,500 RENTEC
- 2023-11-28 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-09 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-26 Listed $119,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-20 Listed $12,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2022): $1,634 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…