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1673 Walker Ln
B Composite 74.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

1673 Walker Ln · Moores Mill, AL 35761
2 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 184 Days on market
Built 1995 0.33 ac lot Est $212k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Built 1995
  • Listed 184 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Moores Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Walnut Grove School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 282 students, 57% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $71k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,352
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1673 Walker Ln 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-1%) 0mo $120,000 $96 92
853 Charley Patterson Rd 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,193 (-6%) 1mo $200,000 $168 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$10,000
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$48,405
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35761

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $781/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$486

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,007
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $522 +0% $486 +5% $449 +10% $413
Rent -10% $358 -5% $422 +0% $486 +5% $550 +10% $614
Rate -1.0pp $551 -0.5pp $519 base $486 +0.5pp $452 +1.0pp $418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Saylor Rose Dr New Market, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,739 $1.07 44d 1 1.21mi
110b Kaliegh Paige Cir Unit 110 B New Market, AL 2.0 2.0 888 $1,295 $1.46 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Contingent
  3. 2026-04-13
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-18
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-10
    historical Contingent
  6. 2026-02-16
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-10
    status Pending
  8. 2026-02-06
    historical Contingent
  9. 2026-02-02
    price $129,000
  10. 2025-12-10
    price $179,900
  11. 2025-10-13
    listed $199,900 Active
  12. 2019-07-23
    soldstatus $93,000 Sold 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.

  13. 2019-06-17
    status Pending 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.

  14. 2019-06-04
    listed $89,000 Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.

  15. 2018-05-04
    soldstatus $44,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$781 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$781 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,460
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$781
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,557
− Management
−$1,557
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$3,941
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$946
After-tax cash flow
$4,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Moores Mill

Score
66/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#11986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,557
Household income
$79,440
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
220.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.88%
Current HPI
261.8281
Rent YoY
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+189.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent VMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Contingent VMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Contingent VMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $129,000 VMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $179,900 VMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $199,900 VMLS
  • 2019-07-23 Sold (MLS) $93,000 VMLS
  • 2019-06-17 Pending VMLS
  • 2019-06-04 Listed $89,000 VMLS
  • 2018-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $781 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…