1673 Walker Ln · Moores Mill, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 184 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Moores Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Walnut Grove School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 282 students, 57% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $71k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $93k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.14%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,352
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1673 Walker Ln | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-1%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $96 | 92 |
| 853 Charley Patterson Rd | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,193 (-6%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $168 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $10,000
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $48,405
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35761
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $781/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $522 | +0% $486 | +5% $449 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $422 | +0% $486 | +5% $550 | +10% $614 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $551 | -0.5pp $519 | base $486 | +0.5pp $452 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Saylor Rose Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,739 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 110b Kaliegh Paige Cir Unit 110 B New Market, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,295 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-22historical Contingent
-
2026-04-13status Active
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-03-10historical Contingent
-
2026-02-16status Active
-
2026-02-10status Pending
-
2026-02-06historical Contingent
-
2026-02-02price $129,000
-
2025-12-10price $179,900
-
2025-10-13$199,900 Active
-
2019-07-23soldstatus $93,000 Sold 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.
-
2019-06-17status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.
-
2019-06-04$89,000 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
This house its being remodeled ( all widows most of doors floor and more is replaced )and its in good shape ready for new owner to live in clean and nice house , peaceful and quiet neighborhood. there is a detached garage that can be finished as a suit for mother in law or rental that some plumbing and power line already is there.
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $44,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$781
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,557
- − Management
- −$1,557
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $3,941
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$946
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Moores Mill
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #11986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,557
- Household income
- $79,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 220.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.88%
- Current HPI
- 261.8281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+189.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-22 Contingent — VMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-03-10 Contingent — VMLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-02-10 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-02-06 Contingent — VMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $129,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $179,900 VMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $199,900 VMLS
- 2019-07-23 Sold (MLS) $93,000 VMLS
- 2019-06-17 Pending — VMLS
- 2019-06-04 Listed $89,000 VMLS
- 2018-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2024): $781 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…