🏷️ Likely Rental
8719 Fig St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special located in the Carrollton Hollygrove State Cultural District and may qualify for 25% State Historic Tax Credit to recoup qualified rehabilitation costs. The spacious 3/4 Bedroom home has a bonus Office area, large Family room and Dining area. The property is priced to reflect the repairs needed. The surrounding area is experiencing a surge in renovations, making this home a prime Candidate for your creative vision. Layout has a separate entrance, great for Roommate or Tenant. Off Street Parking for 3 Vehicles. X Flood Zone. Call for private showing.
Key facts
- Separate entrance
- Large family room
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 279 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.23%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,834
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -56.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8719 Fig St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $45 | 100 |
| 2939 Leonidas St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-2%) | 0mo | $155,500 | $103 | 92 |
| 3024 Hollygrove St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,533 (-0%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $195 | 86 |
| 8917 Apple St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (+3%) | 3mo | $221,000 | $139 | 79 |
| 2510 General Ogden St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-3%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $37 | 74 |
| 8324 Apple St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,538 (-0%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 2828 Mistletoe St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+8%) | 2mo | $287,000 | $172 | 68 |
| 7909 Belfast St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (+5%) | 0mo | $466,000 | $289 | 64 |
| 7822 Colapissa St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (-6%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $169 | 62 |
| 9119 Edinburgh St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (-12%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 8207 Neron Pl | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 1,608 (+4%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 7935 Fig St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+13%) | 2mo | $318,750 | $183 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $28,247
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $73,280
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70118
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,042 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $786
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8929 Colapissa St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 8816 Olive St Unit A-B New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8816 Olive St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9107 Fig St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8405 Apricot St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8405 Apricot St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8812 Apple St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,650 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2527 Eagle St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8502 Edinburgh St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2616 Cambronne St Unit 2618 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8815 Palm St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8537 S Claiborne Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9122 Nelson St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9129 Nelson St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1434 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9438 Forshey St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9215 S Claiborne Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2305 Joliet St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7922 Colapissa St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 10d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2251 Cambronne St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1945 | $2,495 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7933 Belfast St Unit Upper New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9528 Stroelitz St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $2,100 | $1.79 | 11d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2231 S Carrollton Ave Unit D New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,495 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2308 Short St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8426 Spruce St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,000 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 912 Monticello Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2102 S Carrollton Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2102 S Carrollton Ave Unit NA New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2835 Pine St Unit 2835 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $2,995 | $2.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2833 Pine St Unit 2833 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $3,200 | $2.63 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1836 General Ogden St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,675 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7909 Sycamore St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2101 S Carrollton Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7902 Sycamore St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $3,200 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4211 Hamilton St Unit NA New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4211 Hamilton St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8927 Hickory St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2921 Audubon St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2201 Burdette St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,695 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2116 Burdette St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,975 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7021 Pritchard Pl New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-18$110,000 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Investor Special located in the Carrollton Hollygrove State Cultural District and may qualify for 25% State Historic Tax Credit to recoup qualified rehabilitation costs. The spacious 3/4 Bedroom home has a bonus Office area, large Family room and Dining area. The property is priced to reflect the repairs needed. The surrounding area is experiencing a surge in renovations, making this home a prime Candidate for your creative vision. Layout has a separate entrance, great for Roommate or Tenant. Off Street Parking for 3 Vehicles. X Flood Zone. Call for private showing.
-
2026-03-18$110,000 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Investor Special located in the Carrollton Hollygrove State Cultural District and may qualify for 25% State Historic Tax Credit to recoup qualified rehabilitation costs. The spacious 3/4 Bedroom home has a bonus Office area, large Family room and Dining area. The property is priced to reflect the repairs needed. The surrounding area is experiencing a surge in renovations, making this home a prime Candidate for your creative vision. Layout has a separate entrance, great for Roommate or Tenant. Off Street Parking for 3 Vehicles. X Flood Zone. Call for private showing.
-
2025-11-21price $95,000
-
2025-11-20price $95,000
-
2025-08-29price $110,000
-
2025-08-29price $110,000
-
2025-03-28price $120,000
-
2025-03-28price $120,000
-
2024-11-04price $125,000
-
2024-11-04price $125,000
-
2024-08-01price $135,000
-
2024-06-25$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,960
- − Management
- −$1,960
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $8,223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,973
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,072
- Household income
- $63,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2237.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.46%
- Current HPI
- 282.9629
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.97%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-18.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $110,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $95,000 GSREIN
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $110,000 GSREIN
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $120,000 GSREIN
- 2024-11-04 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-11-04 Price Changed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $135,000 GSREIN
- 2024-06-25 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2026): $112 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…