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15575 NE 234th Pl
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,000

15575 NE 234th Pl · Interlachen, FL 32134
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1963 0.43 ac lot $76/sqft · at area comps Est $35k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

In the heart of the Ocala national Forest and short dirt road ride to access the OHV(Off Highway Vehicle) trails. This home needs lots of work or start over with new site built or manufactured home. Located 10 minutes from downtown Fort McCoy with a grocery store, doctor's office, pharmacy, hardware, gas station, pizza, and more. Short drive to Silver Springs which includes Walmart, Lowes, Bealls, Outback and many more of your favorite shopping spots and restaurants. Ocala is only another 10 minutes from Silver Springs with vibrant night life and lots of entertainment options and restaurants. Gainesville(Home of Florida Gators) is only 50 minutes to downtown. If you’re a fisherman, or hunter or simply love hiking, canoeing or kayaking you are in luck! Minutes to Ocklawaha River, Ocala National Forest, and many natural springs(Salt Springs, Silver Glen Springs, Juniper Springs), horseback and walking trails, and off-road vehicle trails await your explorations. One-of-a-kind property and location! Ready for new owners!

Key facts

  • Pharmacy
  • Downtown fort mccoy
  • Doctor's office

Tags

OCALA NATIONAL FORESTOHV TRAILSDOWNTOWN FORT MCCOYGROCERY STOREDOCTOR'S OFFICEPHARMACY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $34k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.7% vs local median 5.6% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $235 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,940 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.32%
Cap rate
28.67%
Cash-on-cash
79.91%
DSCR
4.56
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,148
List price
$34,000
Delta
-3.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23161 NE 155th Ct 0.29mi 1/1.0 480 (+7%) 11mo $35,000 $73 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.1%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$34,898
Equity at exit
$5,070
10-year hold
IRR
83.5%
Equity multiple
9.67×
Total profit
$82,504
Equity at exit
$2,940

Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32134

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$178
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $779/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $326
Max offer price $34,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $653 -5% $644 +0% $634 +5% $624 +10% $615
Rent -10% $545 -5% $589 +0% $634 +5% $679 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $651 -0.5pp $643 base $634 +0.5pp $625 +1.0pp $616

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,500
Closing costs
$1,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $34,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $34,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $34,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $34,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $34,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $34,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $34,000 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $34,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $34,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $34,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $34,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $34,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $34,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $34,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $34,000 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $34,000 Active 1038-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1038 chars)

    In the heart of the Ocala national Forest and short dirt road ride to access the OHV(Off Highway Vehicle) trails. This home needs lots of work or start over with new site built or manufactured home. Located 10 minutes from downtown Fort McCoy with a grocery store, doctor's office, pharmacy, hardware, gas station, pizza, and more. Short drive to Silver Springs which includes Walmart, Lowes, Bealls, Outback and many more of your favorite shopping spots and restaurants. Ocala is only another 10 minutes from Silver Springs with vibrant night life and lots of entertainment options and restaurants. Gainesville(Home of Florida Gators) is only 50 minutes to downtown. If you’re a fisherman, or hunter or simply love hiking, canoeing or kayaking you are in luck! Minutes to Ocklawaha River, Ocala National Forest, and many natural springs(Salt Springs, Silver Glen Springs, Juniper Springs), horseback and walking trails, and off-road vehicle trails await your explorations. One-of-a-kind property and location! Ready for new owners!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$779 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$779 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,539
− Mortgage interest
−$1,905
− Property taxes
−$779
− Insurance
−$170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,083
− Management
−$1,083
− Depreciation
−$989
Taxable income
$7,530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,807
After-tax cash flow
$5,800/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Interlachen

Score
67/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#10162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,580
Population (ZIP)
7,400

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.45%
Current HPI
224.9549
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $34,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $779 · +38.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…