944 Canfield Rd · Youngstown, OH 44511

$154,900

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market

Built 1940 7,492 sqft lot Est $197k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.9/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.7/10.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

Key facts

• Fenced yard
• Double back porch
• Lanterman's mill

Tags

• MILL CREEK PARK
• LANTERMAN'S MILL
• DOUBLE BACK PORCH
• FENCED YARD
• DETACHED GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
• Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $62k; list at $155k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $150,253 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.52%
• DSCR: 1.47
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $197,064
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
435 E Parkcliffe Ave	0.68mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,970 (+2%)	2mo	$54,500	$28	56
4052 Lockwood Blvd	0.67mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,861 (-4%)	2mo	$276,000	$148	56
4004 Riverside Dr	0.53mi	4/3.0	1,954 (+1%)	15mo	$261,000	$134	55
734 W Laclede Ave	0.50mi	4/1.0	1,780 (-8%)	13mo	$104,000	$58	51
512 Ferndale Ave	0.59mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,859 (-4%)	11mo	$108,000	$58	50
4021 Riverside Dr	0.58mi	4/3.0	1,812 (-6%)	9mo	$180,000	$99	49
2425 Inglenook Pl	0.45mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,788 (-8%)	11mo	$180,000	$101	49
3206 Hermosa Dr	0.60mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,742 (-10%)	6mo	$245,000	$141	44
741 Sherwood Ave	0.43mi	4/2.0	1,646 (-15%)	12mo	$129,000	$78	43
3911 Arden Blvd	0.54mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,678 (-13%)	2mo	$214,800	$128	42
735 Linwood Ave	0.73mi	4/2.0	1,796 (-7%)	12mo	$184,000	$102	42
2243 Coleman Dr	0.71mi	4/2.0	1,684 (-13%)	6mo	$176,500	$105	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.98×
• Total profit: $-925
• Equity at exit: $23,096

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.70×
• Total profit: $30,239
• Equity at exit: $13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44511

• Home prices YoY: -12.6%
• Active inventory: 73
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,719 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$812
• Tax from tax record: −$101 /mo · $1,212/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$361
• Net cashflow: $380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238

Max offer price $154,900

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,725
• Closing costs: $4,647
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 36 events

1. 2026-06-13
   status $154,900 Pending 53 DOM
2. 2026-06-10
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 53 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 52 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 51 DOM
5. 2026-06-07
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 50 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 46 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 45 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 44 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $154,900 Contingent 43 DOM
10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,900 Contingent 42 DOM
11. 2026-05-23
    historical Contingent
12. 2026-05-21
    price $154,900
13. 2026-05-04
    status Active
14. 2026-04-20
    historical Contingent
15. 2026-04-18
    listed $159,900 Active
16. 2019-09-09
    historical
17. 2019-08-26
    status Active
18. 2019-08-22
    historical Contingent
19. 2019-08-14
    price $96,900
20. 2019-08-02
    listed $104,900 Active
21. 2017-08-18
    soldstatus $62,000 Sold 991-char remark

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

22. 2017-08-18
    soldstatus $62,000

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

23. 2017-07-31
    status Pending 991-char remark

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

24. 2017-07-06
    status Active 991-char remark

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

25. 2017-06-17
    status Pending 991-char remark

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

26. 2017-06-08
    listed $69,900 Active 991-char remark

    Show marketing remark (991 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial home by Mill Creek Park! Recently rehabbed , this 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath house is move in ready. The house has been well maintained with nice landscaping to greet you at the front porch. Enter in to the spacious living room with wood burning fireplace, large formal dining room, open eat-in kitchen, with appliances and butlers pantry. The 2nd floor has 4 bedrooms, plenty of closet space, built in drawers and linen closet, large updated bathroom, and a covered 2nd floor balcony. There's also a 3rd floor walk up attic that is great for storage and could potentially be furnished to a 5th bedroom, den, or man cave! Full Unfinished basement and a/c in home. The exterior is all brick and well constructed. Beautiful back yard with partial privacy fence. Covered back porch, shed, and 2 car garage. The yard has raised beds for flower or vegetable gardens ( seller is willing to leave or remove for new buyers preference). Home has been pre-inspected, and Home warra

27. 2015-03-13
    historical
28. 2015-03-04
    listed $60,000 Active
29. 2015-02-27
    soldstatus $57,000 Sold
30. 2014-08-18
    soldstatus $12,500
31. 2014-06-02
    historical
32. 2014-04-03
    listed $14,900
33. 2014-03-17
    historical
34. 2013-12-17
    listed $29,900
35. 2006-09-14
    soldstatus $69,000
36. 1991-05-13
    soldstatus $25,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,212 · $101/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,814 · $151/mo
• Expected delta: +$602/yr (+$50/mo · 49.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,627
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,677
• − Property taxes: −$1,212
• − Insurance: −$774
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,650
• − Management: −$1,650
• − Depreciation: −$4,506
• Taxable income: $2,157
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$518
• After-tax cash flow: $4,043/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Youngstown City
• NCES district ID: 3904516
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 17% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $25,257
• Composite: 9.29/100
• National rank: #9858
• State rank: #649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #99
• US rank: #1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Youngstown, OH
• County: Mahoning County · 84,956 people
• City population: 28,503
• Metro: Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
• Population (ZIP): 18,909
• Household income: $56,880
• Rent vs Own: 21.4% rent · 78.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 336.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 223,932 people
• By 2030: 218,387 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 205,367 · -8.3%
• By 2050: 193,606 · -13.5%
• By 2075: 173,694 · -22.4%
• By 2100: 151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.81%
• Current HPI: 283.9088
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+507.5% since first listed

26 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-23 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2026-05-21 Price Changed $154,900 MLSNOW
• 2026-05-04 Relisted — MLSNOW
• 2026-04-20 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2026-04-18 Listed $159,900 MLSNOW
• 2019-09-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2019-08-26 Relisted — MLSNOW
• 2019-08-22 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2019-08-14 Price Changed $96,900 MLSNOW
• 2019-08-02 Listed $104,900 MLSNOW
• 2017-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
• 2017-08-18 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MLSNOW
• 2017-07-31 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2017-07-06 Relisted — MLSNOW
• 2017-06-17 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2017-06-08 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
• 2015-03-13 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2015-03-04 Listed $60,000 MLSNOW
• 2015-02-27 Sold (MLS) $57,000 MLSNOW
• 2014-08-18 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MLSNOW
• 2014-06-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2014-04-03 Listed $14,900 MLSNOW
• 2014-03-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
• 2013-12-17 Listed $29,900 MLSNOW
• 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
• 1991-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,212 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.