4119 Brierwood Ln · Bluefield, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice older cottage well maintained all on one level level yard in front new furnace Ready for new owners
Key facts
- New furnace
- Level yard
- Well maintained
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $94k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.2% in Bluefield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#265 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.04%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,628
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4035 Brierwood Ln | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 1,177 (+2%) | 18mo | $80,000 | $68 | 77 |
| 2701 Marellen Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,161 (+1%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $82 | 56 |
| 2808 Locust Grove Rd | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,168 (+1%) | 15mo | $131,500 | $113 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $20,612
- Equity at exit
- $44,765
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $60,892
- Equity at exit
- $70,810
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24701
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $144 | +0% $111 | +5% $78 | +10% $46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $35 | -5% $73 | +0% $111 | +5% $149 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $135 | base $111 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 111-char remark
-
2026-06-18$94,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$1,418
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$929
- − Management
- −$929
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable loss
- −$182
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$44
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,377/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Bluefield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #22470
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bluefield, WV
- County
- Mercer County · 33,615 people
- City population
- 17,117
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,117
- Household income
- $50,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 302.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Current HPI
- 215.9682
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $94,500 MTCBOR
Property tax history
+34.9%/yrLatest (2025): $103 · +43.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…