421 3rd Ave · Park Falls, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
(358/DW) This custom-built home features 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and is located on 3rd Ave in Park Falls on a roomy 110?x120? corner lot. Home features a roomy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and built-ins. There is a dining room with a bow window which looks out to the wooded back yard. Step saver kitchen with oak cabinets, appliances included. 3 bedrooms and a full bath complete the main level. The upper level features 2 nice-sized bedrooms with hardwood floors and some built-ins and a full bathroom. The home has plenty of great storage options. The lower walkout level features a free standing wood fireplace in a family room and has a laundry room and a utility room. The exterior is wood-type siding and the roof has been reshingled in the past 2 years. There is a one car tuck-under garage, circular drive and nicely wooded backyard. A Family Pleaser, See It Today! $99,900.
Key facts
- Oak cabinets
- Bow window
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#329 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Chequamegon School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #303 of 342 in WI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Price County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Price County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $100k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.75%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,553
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -36.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,779
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $26,957
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54552
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,920/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-04-22price $99,900 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
(358/DW) This custom-built home features 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and is located on 3rd Ave in Park Falls on a roomy 110’x120’ corner lot. Home features a roomy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and built-ins. There is a dining room with a bow window which looks out to the wooded back yard. Step saver kitchen with oak cabinets, appliances included. 3 bedrooms and a full bath complete the main level. The upper level features 2 nice-sized bedrooms with hardwood floors and some built-ins and a full bathroom. The home has plenty of great storage options. The lower walkout level features a free standing wood fireplace in a family room and has a laundry room and a utility room. The exterior is wood-type siding and the roof has been reshingled in the past 2 years. There is a one car tuck-under garage, circular drive and nicely wooded backyard. A Family Pleaser, See It Today! $99,900. 2025 taxes: $1,920. (Lots 2 and 3 of Block 32 and N 10’ of Lot 6 Block 32. 23-40N-1W)
-
2026-04-22price $99,900 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
(358/DW) This custom-built home features 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and is located on 3rd Ave in Park Falls on a roomy 110’x120’ corner lot. Home features a roomy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and built-ins. There is a dining room with a bow window which looks out to the wooded back yard. Step saver kitchen with oak cabinets, appliances included. 3 bedrooms and a full bath complete the main level. The upper level features 2 nice-sized bedrooms with hardwood floors and some built-ins and a full bathroom. The home has plenty of great storage options. The lower walkout level features a free standing wood fireplace in a family room and has a laundry room and a utility room. The exterior is wood-type siding and the roof has been reshingled in the past 2 years. There is a one car tuck-under garage, circular drive and nicely wooded backyard. A Family Pleaser, See It Today! $99,900. 2025 taxes: $1,920. (Lots 2 and 3 of Block 32 and N 10’ of Lot 6 Block 32. 23-40N-1W)
-
2025-11-10$119,900 Active 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
(358/DW) This custom-built home features 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and is located on 3rd Ave in Park Falls on a roomy 110’x120’ corner lot. Home features a roomy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and built-ins. There is a dining room with a bow window which looks out to the wooded back yard. Step saver kitchen with oak cabinets, appliances included. 3 bedrooms and a full bath complete the main level. The upper level features 2 nice-sized bedrooms with hardwood floors and some built-ins and a full bathroom. The home has plenty of great storage options. The lower walkout level features a free standing wood fireplace in a family room and has a laundry room and a utility room. The exterior is wood-type siding and the roof has been reshingled in the past 2 years. There is a one car tuck-under garage, circular drive and nicely wooded backyard. A Family Pleaser, See It Today! $99,900. 2025 taxes: $1,920. (Lots 2 and 3 of Block 32 and N 10’ of Lot 6 Block 32. 23-40N-1W)
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2025-11-10$119,900 Active 999-char remark
Show marketing remark (999 chars)
(358/DW) This custom-built home features 5 bedrooms and 2 baths and is located on 3rd Ave in Park Falls on a roomy 110’x120’ corner lot. Home features a roomy living room with a wood-burning fireplace and built-ins. There is a dining room with a bow window which looks out to the wooded back yard. Step saver kitchen with oak cabinets, appliances included. 3 bedrooms and a full bath complete the main level. The upper level features 2 nice-sized bedrooms with hardwood floors and some built-ins and a full bathroom. The home has plenty of great storage options. The lower walkout level features a free standing wood fireplace in a family room and has a laundry room and a utility room. The exterior is wood-type siding and the roof has been reshingled in the past 2 years. There is a one car tuck-under garage, circular drive and nicely wooded backyard. A Family Pleaser, See It Today! $99,900. 2025 taxes: $1,920. (Lots 2 and 3 of Block 32 and N 10’ of Lot 6 Block 32. 23-40N-1W)
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2001-07-19soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,920 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,920 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,920
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,243
- − Management
- −$1,243
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,127
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$510
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chequamegon School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500058
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,432
- Composite
- 22.98/100
- National rank
- #7984
- State rank
- #303 of 342 in WI
Livability — Park Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #8515
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Falls, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,290
Population outlook (Price County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,757 people
- By 2030
- 12,157 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 10,761 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 9,515 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 8,293 · -35.0%
- By 2100
- 7,470 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Price
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 33.9% · R 65.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.5pp toward R · 2008: 13.4pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+27.6 2016: R+25.0 2012: D+0.0 2008: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.87%
- Current HPI
- 203.0866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+103.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $99,900 RANWW
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $99,900 GNMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $119,900 GNMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $119,900 RANWW
- 2001-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,920 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…