627 Mcgowan St · Brookfield, MO 64628

$28,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1915 0.39 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.5/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• 0.39 acre lot
• Built 1915
• Listed 3 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $28k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#278 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
• Brookfield R-III (rural): math 46% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #45 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($197 loan paydown + $828 appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
• Linn County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $28k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $28,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 27.85%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.00%
• DSCR: 4.43
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $83,520
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
417 Laclede Ave	0.46mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,040 (+8%)	3mo	$68,000	$65	58
317 Macon St	0.67mi	2/1.0 (-1)	906 (-6%)	1mo	$79,000	$87	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 81.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.50×
• Total profit: $35,903
• Equity at exit: $12,663

10-year hold

• IRR: 81.0%
• Equity multiple: 11.31×
• Total profit: $82,284
• Equity at exit: $19,399

Cash invested: $7,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64628

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 41
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $868 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$149
• Tax from tax record: −$12 /mo · $145/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$182
• Net cashflow: $512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219

Max offer price $28,500

Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,125
• Closing costs: $855
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-23
   soldstatus
2. 2026-02-20
   status Pending
3. 2026-02-17
   listed $28,500 Active
4. 2007-07-23
   soldstatus $15,000
5. 2003-07-08
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $145 · $12/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $276 · $23/mo
• Expected delta: +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 91.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,412
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,596
• − Property taxes: −$145
• − Insurance: −$142
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$833
• − Management: −$833
• − Depreciation: −$829
• Taxable income: $6,033
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,448
• After-tax cash flow: $4,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brookfield R-III
• NCES district ID: 2905940
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $37,022
• Composite: 41.93/100
• National rank: #3355
• State rank: #45 of 324 in MO

Livability — Brookfield

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #278
• US rank: #13057

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Brookfield, MO
• Population (ZIP): 5,602

Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 11,437 people
• By 2030: 10,946 · -4.3%
• By 2040: 9,969 · -12.8%
• By 2050: 9,056 · -20.8%
• By 2075: 7,342 · -35.8%
• By 2100: 5,656 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Linn

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.2) · D 20.8% · R 78.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -48.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -57.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+8.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.91%
• Current HPI: 219.7856
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+90.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2026-02-20 Pending — NECAR
• 2026-02-17 Listed $28,500 NECAR
• 2007-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
• 2003-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $145 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.