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315 Carolina Ave
D Composite 40.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$154,500

315 Carolina Ave · Chester, WV 26034
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,561 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1910 5,532 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

Key facts

  • Huge kitchen island
  • Updated main bath
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

OVERSIZED LIVING AREASHUGE KITCHEN ISLANDENCLOSED FRONT PORCHUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED MAIN BATH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas heating
  • Home design: Three-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Built per assessor records
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Patio; Porch; Side porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Two half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; High ceilings; High speed internet; Kitchen island; Double pane windows; Decorative fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (31.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#36 in WV, #5,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hancock County Schools (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #7 of 55 in WV (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,932 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.59%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$348,296
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
249 Pennsylvania Ave 0.54mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,384 (-7%) 15mo $325,000 $136 46
329 Thompson Ave 0.59mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,300 (-10%) 18mo $70,000 $30 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$8,734
Equity at exit
$65,355
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$44,253
Equity at exit
$97,630

Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26034

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$810
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $667/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $138,022
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-6 -5% $-50 +0% $-93 +5% $-137 +10% $-181
Rent -10% $-177 -5% $-135 +0% $-93 +5% $-51 +10% $-10
Rate -1.0pp $-15 -0.5pp $-54 base $-93 +0.5pp $-133 +1.0pp $-174

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,625
Closing costs
$4,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  2. 2026-05-22
    historical Contingent
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  3. 2026-03-19
    status Active 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  4. 2026-03-16
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-07
    status Pending 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  6. 2026-03-07
    historical Contingent
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  7. 2025-12-01
    listed $154,500 Active 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.

  8. 2025-11-28
    listed $154,500 Active
  9. 2025-11-03
    historical
  10. 2025-10-01
    price $149,000
  11. 2025-06-06
    status Active
  12. 2025-06-06
    price $159,000
  13. 2023-11-02
    listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$667 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$912 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$245/yr (+$20/mo · 36.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,712
− Mortgage interest
−$8,654
− Property taxes
−$667
− Insurance
−$772
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,017
− Management
−$1,017
− Depreciation
−$4,495
Taxable loss
−$3,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$938
After-tax cash flow
$-181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock County Schools
NCES district ID
5400450
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,803
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5445
State rank
#7 of 55 in WV

Livability — Chester

Score
73/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#5000

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chester, WV
Population (ZIP)
4,555

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,704 people
By 2030
27,913 · -2.8%
By 2040
26,078 · -9.1%
By 2050
24,521 · -14.6%
By 2075
21,630 · -24.6%
By 2100
17,867 · -37.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Pacific Islander 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.8% · R 72.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.52%
Current HPI
146.1433
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+3.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending WBOR
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted WBOR
  • 2026-03-16 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-07 Pending WBOR
  • 2026-03-07 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $154,500 WBOR
  • 2025-11-28 Listed $154,500 MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-03 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $149,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-06-06 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $159,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-11-02 Listed $149,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $667 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…