315 Carolina Ave · Chester, WV
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
$154,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
Key facts
- Huge kitchen island
- Updated main bath
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas heating
- Home design: Three-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Built per assessor records
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Patio; Porch; Side porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Two half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; High ceilings; High speed internet; Kitchen island; Double pane windows; Decorative fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $154k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (10.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (31.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#36 in WV, #5,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Hancock County Schools (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #7 of 55 in WV (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Hancock County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.59%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $348,296
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,384 (-7%) | 15mo | $325,000 | $136 | 46 |
| 329 Thompson Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,300 (-10%) | 18mo | $70,000 | $30 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,734
- Equity at exit
- $65,355
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $44,253
- Equity at exit
- $97,630
Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26034
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,059 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$810
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $667/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $-93
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-6 | -5% $-50 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-137 | +10% $-181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-177 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-51 | +10% $-10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-15 | -0.5pp $-54 | base $-93 | +0.5pp $-133 | +1.0pp $-174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,625
- Closing costs
- $4,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2026-05-22historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2026-03-19status Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2026-03-16status Active
-
2026-03-07status Pending 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2026-03-07historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2025-12-01$154,500 Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Discover this spacious home at 315 Carolina Ave in Chester, WV! Enjoy oversized living areas with charming pocket doors, a huge kitchen island perfect for gatherings, and large bedrooms offering plenty of comfort. Plumbing and the main bath have been updated for added peace of mind. The enclosed front porch—formerly a barber shop—includes its own entrance and half bath, ideal for a home business, office, or studio. Conveniently located 35 minutes to Pittsburgh and 30 minutes to Weirton, this home offers space, flexibility, and endless potential.
-
2025-11-28$154,500 Active
-
2025-11-03historical
-
2025-10-01price $149,000
-
2025-06-06status Active
-
2025-06-06price $159,000
-
2023-11-02$149,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $667 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $912 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 36.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,654
- − Property taxes
- −$667
- − Insurance
- −$772
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,017
- − Management
- −$1,017
- − Depreciation
- −$4,495
- Taxable loss
- −$3,910
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$938
- After-tax cash flow
- $-181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400450
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 33.5/100
- National rank
- #5445
- State rank
- #7 of 55 in WV
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #5000
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chester, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,555
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,704 people
- By 2030
- 27,913 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 26,078 · -9.1%
- By 2050
- 24,521 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 21,630 · -24.6%
- By 2100
- 17,867 · -37.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Pacific Islander 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.8% · R 72.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.52%
- Current HPI
- 146.1433
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+3.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — WBOR
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-07 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-03-07 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-12-01 Listed $154,500 WBOR
- 2025-11-28 Listed $154,500 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $149,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-06-06 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $159,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-11-02 Listed $149,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+19.0%/yrLatest (2025): $667 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…