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13 Cedar St
D Composite 42.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$149,900

13 Cedar St · Morrisville, NY 13408
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,004 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1955 0.28 ac lot Est $159k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

Key facts

  • Country kitchen
  • New metal roof
  • Nice sized yard

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGCOUNTRY KITCHENNICE SIZED YARDNEW METAL ROOFUPDATED MECHANICALS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Built existing (year not specified); Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Concrete elements; Blown-in insulation; Metal roof; PEX plumbing
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Owned propane tank; Rectangular, rural lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Freezer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-224 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (26.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (25.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in NY, #4,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Morrisville-Eaton Central School District (rural): math 59% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #177 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; list at $150k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,309 (26.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.41%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,632
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71 W Main St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,139 (+13%) 1mo $179,900 $158 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$31,114
Equity at exit
$96,411
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$102,301
Equity at exit
$176,748

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13408

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,111/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$-224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,402
Max offer price $110,309
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    price $149,900
  3. 2026-04-25
    price $139,900
  4. 2026-04-12
    listed $149,900 Active
  5. 2021-05-20
    historical 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

  6. 2021-05-10
    soldstatus $88,500 Closed Sale or Rented 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

  7. 2021-05-03
    soldstatus $88,500
  8. 2021-04-30
    status Pending Sale 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

  9. 2021-03-04
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

  10. 2021-01-15
    listed $89,900 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.

  11. 1996-06-18
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,111 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,111 · $259/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,424
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,111
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,074
− Management
−$1,074
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$5,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$-1,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morrisville-Eaton Central School District
NCES district ID
3619920
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 17.00%
Median HH income
$49,688
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1239
State rank
#177 of 590 in NY

Livability — Morrisville

Score
74/100
State rank
#291
US rank
#4741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morrisville, NY
Population (ZIP)
3,422

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,528 people
By 2030
66,599 · -4.2%
By 2040
59,814 · -14.0%
By 2050
52,842 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,167 · -43.7%
By 2100
28,442 · -59.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Asian 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Danish 3% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.23%
Current HPI
275.2987
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-05-20 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2021-05-10 Sold (MLS) $88,500 CNYIS
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
  • 2021-04-30 Pending CNYIS
  • 2021-03-04 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2021-01-15 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
  • 1996-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,111 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…