13 Cedar St · Morrisville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
Key facts
- Country kitchen
- New metal roof
- Nice sized yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
- Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Built existing (year not specified); Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Concrete elements; Blown-in insulation; Metal roof; PEX plumbing
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Owned propane tank; Rectangular, rural lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Freezer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-224 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (26.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in NY, #4,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Morrisville-Eaton Central School District (rural): math 59% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #177 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $150k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.41%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,632
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 W Main St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,139 (+13%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $158 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $31,114
- Equity at exit
- $96,411
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $102,301
- Equity at exit
- $176,748
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13408
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,111/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $-224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-05-01price $149,900
-
2026-04-25price $139,900
-
2026-04-12$149,900 Active
-
2021-05-20historical 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
-
2021-05-10soldstatus $88,500 Closed Sale or Rented 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
-
2021-05-03soldstatus $88,500
-
2021-04-30status Pending Sale 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
-
2021-03-04historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
-
2021-01-15$89,900 Active 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Located inside the village of Morrisville, this nice 1st floor living has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. A large kitchen and a good size living room. With lots of updates already completed, this cozy house just needs your touch of style to bring this home back to life. It offers a . 28-acre lot with a good size backyard, perfect for entertaining. Plus, access to the local snowmobile trail outback adds a nice touch. This home is a must see to believe.
-
1996-06-18soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,111 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,111 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,111
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$5,343
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,282
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morrisville-Eaton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619920
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,688
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1239
- State rank
- #177 of 590 in NY
Livability — Morrisville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #291
- US rank
- #4741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morrisville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,422
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Asian 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 3% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.23%
- Current HPI
- 275.2987
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+233.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $139,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2021-05-20 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2021-05-10 Sold (MLS) $88,500 CNYIS
- 2021-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
- 2021-04-30 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-03-04 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2021-01-15 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
- 1996-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,111 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…