Multi-family
8 First St · Waterford, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
1ST FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED BATH,KITCHEN INCLUDING REF. D.W., HOT WATER TANK AND FLOORS, FURNACE 3YRS OLD. 2ND FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED KITCHEN,NEW BATHROOM VANITY AND TUB SURROUND,LIVING ROOM FLOORS,WALL TO WALL CARPET AND CEILINGS. HOT WATER TANK IS 1 YEAR OLD AND FURNACE IS 3YRS OLD. Excellent Condition
Key facts
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Natural light
- Screened-in room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Multi-family property with 2 units; Tenant pays electricity and gas
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Off-street paved driveway; Total parking for 7 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Level, landscaped lot
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Flat roof
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Rear porch; Front porch; Back yard fencing; Front yard fencing; Fenced yard; Garage(s) structure
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (1st floor); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (2nd floor)
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on 1st level, one on 2nd level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in NY, #4,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
- Waterford-Halfmoon Union Free School District (rural): math 60% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #322 of 755 in NY (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Waterford-Halfmoon Elementary School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 402 students, 45% FRL); Waterford-Halfmoon Junior-Senior High School (math 62% / reading 44%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 336 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,167/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 129% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.69%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $422,360
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -46.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 3rd Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,244 (-5%) | 1mo | $231,540 | $103 | 73 |
| 797 1st Ave | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,336 (-1%) | 8mo | $425,000 | $182 | 70 |
| 15-17 4th St | 0.19mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,548 (+8%) | 6mo | $354,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 2 4th St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 2,576 (+9%) | 16mo | $243,999 | $95 | 62 |
| 694 4th Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,486 (+5%) | 0mo | $190,500 | $77 | 57 |
| 847 5th Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,052 (-13%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $119 | 55 |
| 799 5th Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (-11%) | 6mo | $226,000 | $107 | 54 |
| 3 9th St | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,624 (+11%) | 4mo | $263,200 | $100 | 50 |
| 10 Northern Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,168 (-8%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $67 | 49 |
| 670 5th Ave | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,440 (+3%) | 5mo | $231,500 | $95 | 48 |
| 878 3rd Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,042 (-14%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 617-619 1st Ave | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 | 2,016 (-15%) | 17mo | $267,500 | $133 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $33,939
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $121,466
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12188
- Home prices YoY
- -13.3%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,167 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$460 /mo · $5,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$875
- Net cashflow
- $1,098
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,226 | -5% $1,162 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,034 | +10% $971 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $769 | -5% $934 | +0% $1,098 | +5% $1,263 | +10% $1,427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,211 | -0.5pp $1,155 | base $1,098 | +0.5pp $1,040 | +1.0pp $981 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $2,006 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $2,161 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,167 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,711 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 53 Park Ave Cohoes, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1875 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 100 N Mohawk St Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1769 | $3,840 | $2.17 | 14d | 18 | 1.48mi |
| 192 Saratoga St Cohoes, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1157 | $2,600 | $2.25 | 14d | 4 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1136-char remark
-
2026-05-01$225,000 Active 1136-char remark
-
2015-10-13soldstatus $160,000
-
2015-10-01soldstatus $170,200 Closed (Final Sale) 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
1ST FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED BATH,KITCHEN INCLUDING REF. D.W., HOT WATER TANK AND FLOORS, FURNACE 3YRS OLD. 2ND FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED KITCHEN,NEW BATHROOM VANITY AND TUB SURROUND,LIVING ROOM FLOORS,WALL TO WALL CARPET AND CEILINGS. HOT WATER TANK IS 1 YEAR OLD AND FURNACE IS 3YRS OLD. Excellent Condition
-
2015-06-24historical 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
1ST FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED BATH,KITCHEN INCLUDING REF. D.W., HOT WATER TANK AND FLOORS, FURNACE 3YRS OLD. 2ND FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED KITCHEN,NEW BATHROOM VANITY AND TUB SURROUND,LIVING ROOM FLOORS,WALL TO WALL CARPET AND CEILINGS. HOT WATER TANK IS 1 YEAR OLD AND FURNACE IS 3YRS OLD. Excellent Condition
-
2015-05-06$179,900 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
1ST FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED BATH,KITCHEN INCLUDING REF. D.W., HOT WATER TANK AND FLOORS, FURNACE 3YRS OLD. 2ND FLOOR NEWLY REMODELED KITCHEN,NEW BATHROOM VANITY AND TUB SURROUND,LIVING ROOM FLOORS,WALL TO WALL CARPET AND CEILINGS. HOT WATER TANK IS 1 YEAR OLD AND FURNACE IS 3YRS OLD. Excellent Condition
-
2015-02-10historical
-
2014-09-08$189,900
-
2007-06-28soldstatus $164,800
-
2007-06-22soldstatus $164,800
-
2007-04-19historical
-
2007-04-09$160,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,516 · $460/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,516 · $460/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$5,516
- − Insurance
- −$6,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,000
- − Management
- −$4,000
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $10,688
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,613/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterford-Halfmoon Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630060
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,359
- Composite
- 50.65/100
- National rank
- #3943
- State rank
- #322 of 755 in NY
Livability — Waterford
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #4586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterford, NY
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- City population
- 10,988
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,988
- Household income
- $92,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 129.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 4% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.55%
- Current HPI
- 316.5619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+40.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $225,000 Global MLS
- 2015-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-01 Sold (MLS) $170,200 Global MLS
- 2015-06-24 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2015-05-06 Listed $179,900 Global MLS
- 2015-02-10 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2014-09-08 Listed $189,900 Global MLS
- 2007-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $164,800 Public Records
- 2007-06-22 Sold (MLS) $164,800 Global MLS
- 2007-04-19 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2007-04-09 Listed $160,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,516 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…