🏗️ New Construction
Armstrong Plan · Ave Maria, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$369,999
Armstrong Plan · Ave Maria, FL 34142
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,635 sqft · SingleFamily
· 273 Days on market
Garage
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This new single-story home is dedicated to modern comfort and ease of living. Two secondary bedrooms share a bathroom in the hall at the front of the home, while down the foyer is the open-concept living area. It showcases an airy dining room, welcoming family room and a modern kitchen with a center island and direct access to the spacious covered patio. In the corner is a tranquil owner's suite with a private bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Private bathroom
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction.
The $369,999 list price is a builder
figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from
comparable previous sales — $416,440.
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $339k (8.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $326k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.9% in Ave Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,394/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer
$325,599
(12.0% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.02%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $416,440
- List price
- $369,999
- Delta
- -11.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4671 Espiritu Way | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-11%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $221 | 73 |
| 4250 Annapolis Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+4%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $245 | 68 |
| 4344 Annapolis Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (+2%) | 10mo | $393,390 | $237 | 68 |
| 4969 Renzo Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,726 (+6%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $229 | 64 |
| 5028 Arancia Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,717 (+5%) | 0mo | $378,500 | $220 | 64 |
| 4450 Steinbeck Way | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+8%) | 5mo | $459,000 | $261 | 62 |
| 4357 Steinbeck Way | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+8%) | 5mo | $430,000 | $244 | 60 |
| 4161 Madison St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+8%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $219 | 60 |
| 5072 Arancia Ln | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 | 1,705 (+4%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $185 | 55 |
| 5060 Arancia Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (-8%) | 6mo | $384,500 | $254 | 54 |
| 3983 Giesboro Ln | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-11%) | 0mo | $316,635 | $219 | 45 |
| 4368 Annapolis Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,850 (+13%) | 9mo | $398,000 | $215 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-44,904
- Equity at exit
- $99,560
10-year hold
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-22,729
- Equity at exit
- $103,727
Cash invested: $116,603 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 46 active · 19 under contract
- Months of supply
- 13.8 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $417,490 ($234/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 153 d
- This list price
- 30% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34142
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $3,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$521 /mo · $6,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$174
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$713
- Net cashflow
- $-197
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$3,643
Max offer price
$387,988
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $-53 | +0% $-197 | +5% $-341 | +10% $-484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-465 | -5% $-331 | +0% $-197 | +5% $-63 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $13 | -0.5pp $-91 | base $-197 | +0.5pp $-305 | +1.0pp $-414 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,110
- Closing costs
- $12,493
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4546 Battlecreek Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2104 | $3,600 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4546 Battlecreek Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2104 | $3,900 | $1.85 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4546 Battlecreek Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2104 | $3,900 | $1.85 | 119d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5020 Arancia Ln Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1867 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5020 Arancia Ln Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1867 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4819 Frattina St Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1978 | $3,200 | $1.62 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5032 Arancia Ln Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $2,595 | $1.70 | 109d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5072 Arancia Ln Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1705 | $3,150 | $1.85 | 6d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4390 Battlecreek Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $3,295 | $1.60 | 119d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5068 Annunciation Cir #4210 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $2,750 | $1.68 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5068 Annunciation Cir #4201 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $3,400 | $2.69 | 119d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4881 Gambero Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2037 | $2,800 | $1.37 | 106d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5076 Annunciation Cir #2305 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,800 | $2.40 | 119d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5076 Annunciation Cir #2206 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $3,100 | $2.57 | 119d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5076 Annunciation Cir #2206 Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $3,100 | $2.57 | 6d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5080 Annunciation Cir #1306 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,900 | $2.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4925 Gambero Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $4,000 | $2.62 | 119d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6015 Ellerston #911 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4957 Gambero Way Unit 4957 Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,400 | $2.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5191 Genoa St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $3,500 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5253 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5263 Ferrari Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $3,300 | $1.71 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5069 Penella Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1717 | $2,650 | $1.54 | 6d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5265 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $4,995 | $2.59 | 6d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5265 Messina St Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $4,995 | $2.59 | 119d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5089 Penella Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 109d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5187 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,700 | $1.61 | 116d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5322 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1918 | $2,700 | $1.41 | 109d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5501 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $7,850 | $4.13 | 6d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5124 Nevola Ave Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1918 | $2,750 | $1.43 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5376 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $6,850 | $3.70 | 116d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5374 Ferris Ave Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1933 | $2,350 | $1.22 | 119d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5522 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,995 | $2.16 | 119d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5538 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $6,295 | $2.80 | 116d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5538 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $6,495 | $2.89 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5545 Hampton Links Ct Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $8,500 | $3.78 | 119d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5604 Newcastle Ct #5722 Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $6,800 | $3.22 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5412 Fancourt Links Way Ave Maria, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $8,000 | $3.56 | 116d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5415 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $3,995 | $1.78 | 6d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5357 Brin Way Ave Maria, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $2,495 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: Ave Maria, FL 34142
- Financial info
- List price available (details not shown here)
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 garage spaces2 total parking spaces
- Home design
- New construction plan named ArmstrongSingle-family home (plan inventory)
- Construction
- Built as part of a 2025/2026 listing (new construction plan)
- Exterior features
- Living area of 1,635 (listed)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Standard kitchen included (details not provided)
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Open living area
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry/utility area (details not provided)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $369,999 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $369,999 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $369,999 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $369,999 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $369,999 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $369,999 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $369,999 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $369,999 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $369,999 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $369,999 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $369,999 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $369,999 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $369,999 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $369,999 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $369,999 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $369,999 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $369,999 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $369,999 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $369,999 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $369,999 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $369,999 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-08-23pricedays on market $369,999 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $379,999 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $379,999 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $379,999 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $379,999 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $379,999 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $379,999 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $379,999 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $379,999 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $379,999 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $379,999 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $379,999 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $379,999 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $379,999 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $379,999 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $379,999 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $379,999 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $379,999 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $379,999 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $379,999 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $379,999 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $379,999 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $379,999 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $379,999 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $379,999 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $379,999 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $379,999 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $379,999 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $379,999 Active 206 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,327
- − Property taxes
- −$6,247
- − Insurance
- −$2,082
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,258
- − Management
- −$3,258
- − Depreciation
- −$12,115
- Taxable loss
- −$9,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $-65/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $8,175–$24,525 screening
This modern single-story home in Ave Maria, FL, is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for modest cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
D
Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Estates Elementary School
B+
FL #409/2,144
Nat'l #4,125/41,679
Middle
Corkscrew Middle School
B+
FL #109/571
Nat'l #1,406/14,009
High
Palmetto Ridge High School
D-
FL #207/667
Nat'l #6,330/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ave Maria
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ave Maria, FL
- County
- Collier County · 420,858 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,149
- Household income
- $62,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.05%
- Current HPI
- 226.9105
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
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